Hapoel Afula FC vs Maccabi Herzliya
Match details. National League, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Fri 16 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Hapoel Afula FC are 4th on 17 points after 9 games, 3 points behind Hapoel Rishon LeZion, level on points with Hapoel Kfar Shalem. A win would take them level on points with Hapoel Rishon LeZion. Maccabi Herzliya are 13th on 8 points after 9 games, level on points with Ironi Modi'in, 2 points clear of Hapoel Kfar Saba. A win would take them above Ironi Modi'in.
Form. Hapoel Afula FC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W D L. Maccabi Herzliya have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D W.
The numbers. Hapoel Afula FC score 1.7 and concede 1.7 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Hapoel Afula FC average 12.2 shots (5.0 on target), 1.8 corners and 5.5 cards a game. Maccabi Herzliya score 0.9 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Maccabi Herzliya average 10.4 shots (4.6 on target), 2.8 corners and 2.8 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Hapoel Afula FC have won three, drawn three and lost four. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Hapoel Afula FC won one, one was drawn and Maccabi Herzliya won two. The last time they met, on 19 Dec 2025, it finished Hapoel Afula FC 1-0 Maccabi Herzliya.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Hapoel Afula FC the likelier winners, but Hapoel Afula FC are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Maccabi Herzliya. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%; seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Maccabi Herzliya's record still gives them 33% to win. The meetings do not back them. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game.
The read. Hapoel Afula FC or the draw. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Hapoel Afula FC the likelier winners; Hapoel Afula FC are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Maccabi Herzliya. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%. Seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Hapoel Afula FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Maccabi Herzliya Under 1.5 goals (Hapoel Afula FC's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Hapoel Afula FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Hapoel Afula FC 1-1 Maccabi Herzliya (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).