Match details. Primera Division, Clausura - 13. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 20:30 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Deportivo Rayo Zuliano are 12th on 11 points after 12 games, 3 points behind Trujillanos FC, 3 points clear of Anzoátegui FC. A win would take them level on points with Trujillanos FC. Caracas FC are 10th on 14 points after 12 games, 1 point behind UCV, level on points with Trujillanos FC. A win would take them above UCV.
Form. Deportivo Rayo Zuliano have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W D L. In this competition Deportivo Rayo Zuliano have gone L D W D L W. Caracas FC have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L L W. In this competition Caracas FC have gone W D L L W D.
The numbers. Deportivo Rayo Zuliano score two and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Deportivo Rayo Zuliano average 3.2 corners and 3.3 cards a game. Caracas FC score 0.6 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Caracas FC average 4.6 corners and 3.2 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Deportivo Rayo Zuliano have won two, drawn three and lost four. Five of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, one was drawn and Caracas FC won three. The last time they met, on 25 Apr 2026, it finished Deportivo Rayo Zuliano 1-2 Caracas FC.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 60% against the records' 38%. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 49%; five of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The read. No firm call: Caracas FC are the better side, but not at this price. Caracas FC are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Caracas FC.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Deportivo Rayo Zuliano 1-1 Caracas FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).