Floriana FC vs Mosta FC
Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at Tony Bezzina Stadium, Paola, a neutral ground. The referee is S. Petrovic.
What's at stake. Floriana FC are 3rd on 14 points after 7 games, 3 points behind Marsaxlokk, 2 points clear of Mosta. A win would take them level on points with Marsaxlokk. Mosta FC are 4th on 12 points after 7 games, 2 points behind Floriana, 1 point clear of Hamrun Spartans. A win would take them above Floriana.
Form. Floriana FC have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L L W. Mosta FC have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L D W.
The numbers. Floriana FC score 1.9 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Floriana FC average 11.3 shots (5.3 on target), 5.1 corners and 2.6 cards a game. Mosta FC score 1.2 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Mosta FC average 8.3 shots (3.3 on target), 2.9 corners and 2.4 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Floriana FC have won eight, drawn one and lost none. Five of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, Floriana FC won four. The last time they met, on 25 Jan 2026, it finished Floriana FC 2-1 Mosta FC.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%; five of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. Mosta FC's record still gives them 20% to win.
The read. Floriana FC to win. Floriana FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Floriana FC; the meetings favour Floriana FC.
The bets. Best bet: Floriana FC or Draw at 1.14, 70% on the records (Floriana FC unbeaten in 6 of 7; Mosta FC failed to win 6 of 10). Backup: Under 1.5 first-half goals at 1.48. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (Floriana FC are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Floriana FC are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Floriana FC 1-0 Mosta FC (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).