Match details. Stars League, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Fri 16 Oct, 18:30 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Al Kahrabaa SC are 14th on 8 points after 9 games, level on points with Ghaz Al Shamal, level on points with Al Talaba. A win would take them above Ghaz Al Shamal. AL Talaba are 15th on 8 points after 9 games, level on points with Al Kahrabaa, level on points with Naft Maysan. A win would take them above Al Kahrabaa.
Form. Al Kahrabaa SC have won one, drawn five and lost four of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L D. AL Talaba have won two, drawn six and lost two of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L W D.
The numbers. Al Kahrabaa SC score 0.6 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Al Kahrabaa SC average 10.0 shots (3.2 on target), 3.9 corners and 2.3 cards a game. AL Talaba score 1.1 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and four games without a goal. AL Talaba average 10.4 shots (4.3 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.4 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Al Kahrabaa SC have won none, drawn two and lost eight. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, AL Talaba won four. The last time they met, on 12 Mar 2026, it finished Al Kahrabaa SC 1-2 AL Talaba.
The read. AL Talaba to win. A tight game. AL Talaba are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour AL Talaba. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 41%. Six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.20, 77% on the records (Al Kahrabaa SC: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; AL Talaba: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 10). Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Al Kahrabaa SC 0-1 AL Talaba (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).