Match details. Liga DIMAYOR, Clausura - 7. Kick-off is Thu 22 Oct, 02:20 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio El Campin, Bogota. The referee is F. Ossa Orozco.
What's at stake. Independiente Santa Fe are 7th on 22 points after 13 games, 1 point behind Independiente Medellin, 1 point clear of Cucuta. A win would take them above Independiente Medellin. Jaguares de Cordoba are 19th on 10 points after 13 games, 1 point behind Fortaleza FC, 1 point clear of Deportivo Pasto. A win would take them above Fortaleza FC.
Form. Independiente Santa Fe have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L W. In this competition Independiente Santa Fe have gone L W W L W W. Jaguares de Cordoba have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L L. In this competition Jaguares de Cordoba have gone L W L L L D.
The numbers. Independiente Santa Fe score 1.2 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Independiente Santa Fe average 13.2 shots (5.6 on target), 5.1 corners and 3.1 cards a game, with 46% of the ball. Jaguares de Cordoba score 1.5 and concede two a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet. Jaguares de Cordoba average 9.0 shots (3.4 on target), 3.5 corners and 3.9 cards a game, with 44% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Independiente Santa Fe have won five, drawn two and lost three. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Independiente Santa Fe won two and Jaguares de Cordoba won two. The last time they met, on 17 Feb 2026, it finished Independiente Santa Fe 1-3 Jaguares de Cordoba: Independiente Santa Fe had 20 shots to 9, 70% of the ball, six yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 81% against the records' 40%.
The read. No firm call: Independiente Santa Fe are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Independiente Santa Fe the likelier winners; Independiente Santa Fe are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%. Six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.20, 79% on the records (Independiente Santa Fe: over 1.5 goals in 2 of 5 at home; Jaguares de Cordoba: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10). Backup: Independiente Santa Fe Over 0.5 Goals at 1.09. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Independiente Santa Fe 2-1 Jaguares de Cordoba (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).