INTERNATIONAL CLUBS - CONMEBOL SUDAMERICANA

MCMON

23:00Wed 21 Oct

ATL

Montevideo City Torque vs Atletico Mineiro MG

CLASS D

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THE READ

Match details. CONMEBOL Sudamericana, Semi-finals. Kick-off is Wed 21 Oct, 23:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Centenario, Montevideo. The referee is Cristian Garay.

What's at stake. Montevideo City Torque are 1st on 13 points after 6 games, 2 points clear of Gremio. Atletico Mineiro MG are 1st on 10 points after 6 games, 2 points clear of Cienciano. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Montevideo City Torque have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W W. In this competition Montevideo City Torque have gone L W L W W D. Atletico Mineiro MG have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D W.

The numbers. Montevideo City Torque score 1.6 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Montevideo City Torque average 10.0 shots (3.6 on target), 3.8 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 42% of the ball. Atletico Mineiro MG score 1.7 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Atletico Mineiro MG average 13.0 shots (6.2 on target), 5.9 corners and 1.3 cards a game, with 55% of the ball.

Head to head. The last time they met, on 14 Oct 2026, it finished Montevideo City Torque 0-3 Atletico Mineiro MG: Montevideo City Torque had 6 shots to 16, 35% of the ball, three yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: Montevideo City Torque are the stronger side on form and the table, but both teams' records favour Atletico Mineiro MG. On goals, their xG points to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.

The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.

The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Montevideo City Torque or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Montevideo City Torque or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Montevideo City Torque or Both Teams Score (no result call). Predicted score: Montevideo City Torque 1-1 Atletico Mineiro MG (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.13

MON 9 of 10 (90%) · ATL 9 of 10 (90%)90%

Montevideo City Torque: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Atletico Mineiro MG: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90%

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.27

MON 8 of 10 (80%) · ATL 8 of 10 (80%)80%

Montevideo City Torque: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Atletico Mineiro MG: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80%

MONTEVIDEO CITY TORQUE GOALS

Montevideo City Torque Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.33

MON 8 of 10 (80%) · ATL 7 of 10 (70%)75%

Montevideo City Torque scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Atletico Mineiro MG conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75%

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.37

MON 8 of 10 (80%) · ATL 6 of 10 (60%)70%

Montevideo City Torque: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Atletico Mineiro MG: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · on half-time scores

Left off the list: Montevideo City Torque or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Montevideo City Torque or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Montevideo City Torque or Both Teams Score (no result call); Montevideo City Torque or Draw (1UP) (no result call); Montevideo City Torque 1UP (no result call); Atletico Mineiro MG Under 1.5 goals (Atletico Mineiro MG's own games don't back it (5 of 10)); Montevideo City Torque or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 14.1%

Montevideo City Torque goals →

Atletico Mineiro MG goals ↓

0-011%

1-011%

2-06%

3-02%

4-00.7%

5-00.1%

0-111%

1-114%

2-17%

3-13%

4-10.8%

5-10.2%

0-27%

1-28%

2-24%

3-22%

4-20.4%

5-20.1%

0-33%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.6%

4-30.2%

5-30.0%

0-40.8%

1-40.9%

2-40.5%

3-40.2%

4-40.0%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10

MONTEVIDEO CITY TORQUEWLWWDWWLWL1.90 PPG

ATLETICO MINEIRO MGLLWWDWDWWW2.00 PPG

THE NUMBERS

MONTEVIDEO CITY TORQUE HOMExATLETICO MINEIRO MG AWAY

1.60SCORED A GAME1.701.10CONCEDED A GAME1.1020%CLEAN SHEETS30%17%FAILED TO SCORE18%3.75CORNERS A GAME5.901.75CARDS A GAME1.301.00xG1.271.35xG AGAINST1.15

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 1

MONTEVIDEO CITY TORQUE 0 · 0%DRAW 0ATLETICO MINEIRO MG 1 · 100%

2026-10-14Montevideo City Torque 0 – 3 Atletico Mineiro MG

TRENDS

Montevideo City Torque have scored in 60% of their games.

Atletico Mineiro MG have scored in 80% of their games.

Montevideo City Torque kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Atletico Mineiro MG kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards