Match details. Liga 1, Clausura - 12. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 19:15 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Heroes de San Ramon, Cajamarca.
What's at stake. FC Cajamarca are 14th on 11 points after 11 games, level on points with Cienciano, 1 point clear of Comerciantes Unidos. A win would take them above Cienciano. CD Moquegua are 16th on 7 points after 11 games, 3 points behind Comerciantes Unidos, 1 point clear of ADT. A win would take them level on points with Comerciantes Unidos.
Form. FC Cajamarca have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L W. In this competition FC Cajamarca have gone D L W L W L. CD Moquegua have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L. In this competition CD Moquegua have gone L L L L L W.
The numbers. FC Cajamarca score 1.2 and concede three a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. FC Cajamarca average 15.9 shots (5.2 on target), 3.5 corners and 3.1 cards a game, with 44% of the ball. CD Moquegua score 0.4 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. CD Moquegua average 10.5 shots (3.1 on target), 3.6 corners and 3.2 cards a game, with 42% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last five meetings FC Cajamarca have won two, drawn none and lost three. Three of the five went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, FC Cajamarca won two and CD Moquegua won two. The last time they met, on 25 Apr 2026, it finished FC Cajamarca 1-2 CD Moquegua: FC Cajamarca had 11 shots to 17, 53% of the ball, one yellow card.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make FC Cajamarca the likelier winners, but FC Cajamarca are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CD Moquegua.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%. Three of the last five meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.22, 76% on the records (FC Cajamarca: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; CD Moquegua: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: FC Cajamarca Over 0.5 Goals at 1.13. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); FC Cajamarca or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: FC Cajamarca 2-1 CD Moquegua (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).