Delfin SC vs Manta FC
Match details. LigaPro Primera A, Relegation Group - 3. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 17:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Jocay, Manta.
What's at stake. Delfin SC are 15th on 32 points after 32 games, 1 point behind Tecnico Universitario, 5 points clear of Manta FC. A win would take them above Tecnico Universitario. Manta FC are 16th on 27 points after 32 games, 5 points behind Delfin SC. It is played over two legs.
Form. Delfin SC have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D L W. In this competition Delfin SC have gone W D D L W L. Manta FC have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D L L. In this competition Manta FC have gone W W D L L W.
The numbers. Delfin SC score one and concede one a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Delfin SC average 11.9 shots (3.6 on target), 5.0 corners and 2.9 cards a game, with 51% of the ball. Manta FC score 1.2 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Manta FC average 11.5 shots (3.6 on target), 4.5 corners and 3.2 cards a game, with 45% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Delfin SC have won six, drawn three and lost one. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Delfin SC won two, one was drawn and Manta FC won one. The last time they met, on 15 Jul 2026, it finished Delfin SC 1-0 Manta FC: Delfin SC had 8 shots to 11, 49% of the ball, one yellow card.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Delfin SC the likelier winners, but Manta FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Delfin SC; the meetings favour Delfin SC.
The case against. Manta FC's record still gives them 35% to win.
The read. Delfin SC or the draw. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Delfin SC the likelier winners; Manta FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Delfin SC; the meetings favour Delfin SC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%. Seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.19, 74% on the records (Delfin SC: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Manta FC: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10). Leave: Delfin SC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Delfin SC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Delfin SC 1-1 Manta FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).