FC Kairat Almaty vs FC Irtysh Pavlodar
Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 23. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at Almaty Central Stadium. The referee is S. Nozhenko.
What's at stake. FC Kairat Almaty are 2nd on 60 points after 26 games, 4 points behind Ordabasy, 12 points clear of FC Astana. FC Irtysh Pavlodar are 13th on 26 points after 27 games, level on points with Atyrau, 1 point clear of Zhetysu. A win would take them above Atyrau.
Form. FC Kairat Almaty have won eight, drawn none and lost two of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W W. In this competition FC Kairat Almaty have gone W L L W W W. FC Irtysh Pavlodar have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W L. In this competition FC Irtysh Pavlodar have gone L L W W L W.
The numbers. FC Kairat Almaty score 2.5 and concede one a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets. FC Kairat Almaty average 0.0 cards a game. FC Irtysh Pavlodar score 1.2 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and four games without a goal. FC Irtysh Pavlodar average 0.9 corners and 0.3 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last seven meetings FC Kairat Almaty have won four, drawn none and lost three. Four of the seven went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, FC Kairat Almaty won three and FC Irtysh Pavlodar won one. The last time they met, on 2 May 2026, it finished FC Kairat Almaty 1-0 FC Irtysh Pavlodar.
The case against. FC Irtysh Pavlodar's record still gives them 34% to win.
The read. FC Kairat Almaty to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make FC Kairat Almaty the likelier winners; FC Kairat Almaty are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Kairat Almaty; the meetings favour FC Kairat Almaty. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%. Four of the last seven meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: FC Irtysh Pavlodar Under 1.5 goals (FC Irtysh Pavlodar's own games don't back it (5 of 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: FC Kairat Almaty 2-1 FC Irtysh Pavlodar (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).