PPPAE

14:00Sun 18 Oct

OFI

PAE PS Kalamata vs OFI Crete

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. Super League, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at Dimotiko Stadio Paralias, Kalamata. The referee is Eleftherios Katopis.

What's at stake. PAE PS Kalamata are 10th on 7 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Kifisia, 2 points clear of Asteras Tripolis. A win would take them above Kifisia. OFI Crete are 6th on 10 points after 6 games, level on points with Aris Thessalonikis, 1 point clear of Iraklis 1908. A win would take them above Aris Thessalonikis.

Form. PAE PS Kalamata have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W D. OFI Crete have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D W W.

The numbers. PAE PS Kalamata score two and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. PAE PS Kalamata average 9.5 shots (3.6 on target), 3.3 corners and 3.8 cards a game, with 43% of the ball. OFI Crete score 0.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. OFI Crete average 7.4 shots (3.2 on target), 3.5 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 51% of the ball.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make PAE PS Kalamata the likelier winners, but OFI Crete are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour OFI Crete. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.

The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.

The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: OFI Crete or Draw (1UP) (no result call); OFI Crete 1UP (no result call); PAE PS Kalamata Under 1.5 goals (PAE PS Kalamata's own games don't back it (3 of 6)). Predicted score: PAE PS Kalamata 1-1 OFI Crete (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.09

PAE 5 of 6 (83%) · OFI 5 of 5 (100%)87.8%

PAE PS Kalamata: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · OFI Crete: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · PAE PS Kalamata: only games against sides at OFI Crete's level · OFI Crete: only games against sides at PAE PS Kalamata's level

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.34

PAE 5 of 6 (83%) · OFI 4 of 5 (80%)73.8%

PAE PS Kalamata: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · OFI Crete: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · PAE PS Kalamata: only games against sides at OFI Crete's level · OFI Crete: only games against sides at PAE PS Kalamata's level

OFI CRETE GOALS

OFI Crete Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.33

PAE 4 of 5 (80%) · OFI 6 of 6 (100%)65.8%

OFI Crete scored in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · PAE PS Kalamata conceded in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · OFI Crete: only games against sides at PAE PS Kalamata's level · PAE PS Kalamata: only games against sides at OFI Crete's level

CARDS

Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

PAE 6 of 6 (100%) · OFI 4 of 5 (80%)90%

PAE PS Kalamata's games: over 3.5 cards in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · OFI Crete's games: over 3.5 cards in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · PAE PS Kalamata: only games against sides at OFI Crete's level · OFI Crete: only games against sides at PAE PS Kalamata's level

Left off the list: OFI Crete or Draw (1UP) (no result call); OFI Crete 1UP (no result call); PAE PS Kalamata Under 1.5 goals (PAE PS Kalamata's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); OFI Crete win or both teams score (no result call); OFI Crete or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 12.9%

PAE PS Kalamata goals →

OFI Crete goals ↓

0-08%

1-011%

2-09%

3-04%

4-02%

5-00.5%

0-17%

1-113%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-24%

1-27%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21.0%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-32%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.4%

1-40.6%

2-40.5%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10

PAE PS KALAMATAWWLLDDWDLW1.50 PPG

OFI CRETEWLDWWWWDLL1.70 PPG

THE NUMBERS

PAE PS KALAMATA HOMExOFI CRETE AWAY

1.70SCORED A GAME1.401.40CONCEDED A GAME0.9010%CLEAN SHEETS60%33%FAILED TO SCORE17%3.30CORNERS A GAME3.503.80CARDS A GAME1.901.45xG0.901.53xG AGAINST1.26

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

718 OF 767

NO PRICE YET

The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

78%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

56%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

99%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

PAE PS KALAMATA OR DRAW

61%

NO · 80/85

OFI CRETE OR DRAW

45%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (4 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

TRENDS

PAE PS Kalamata have scored in 80% of their games.

OFI Crete have scored in 80% of their games.

PAE PS Kalamata kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

OFI Crete kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards