Baladiyyat AL Mehalla vs FC Masar
Match details. 2. Division A. Kick-off is Fri 16 Oct, 13:30 Lagos time.
Form. Baladiyyat AL Mehalla have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D L L. FC Masar have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D W.
The numbers. Baladiyyat AL Mehalla score 0.8 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Baladiyyat AL Mehalla average 5.5 shots (1.0 on target), 3.8 corners and 4.0 cards a game. FC Masar score one and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. FC Masar average 11.0 shots (4.8 on target), 5.2 corners and 1.2 cards a game.
The case against. Baladiyyat AL Mehalla's record still gives them 33% to win.
The read. FC Masar to win. A tight game. FC Masar are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Masar. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 27%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.16, 75% on the records (Baladiyyat AL Mehalla: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; FC Masar: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Baladiyyat AL Mehalla 0-1 FC Masar (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).