PAOPAO

19:00Sun 18 Oct

POT

PAOK vs POT Iraklis

CLASS B

THE READ

Match details. Super League, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time. It is played at Toumba Stadium, Thessaloniki. The referee is Vassilis Fotias.

What's at stake. PAOK are 4th on 12 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Olympiakos Piraeus, 2 points clear of Aris Thessalonikis. A win would take them above Olympiakos Piraeus. POT Iraklis are 7th on 9 points after 6 games, 1 point behind OFI, level on points with Panetolikos. A win would take them above OFI.

Form. PAOK have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W L. POT Iraklis have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D W D.

The numbers. PAOK score 1.6 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. PAOK average 12.4 shots (4.6 on target), 4.6 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 48% of the ball. POT Iraklis score one and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and four games without a goal. POT Iraklis average 9.2 shots (2.8 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.8 cards a game, with 44% of the ball.

The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.

The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: PAOK or Both Teams Score (no result call); PAOK Over 0.5 goals (POT Iraklis's own games don't back it (3 of 6)). Predicted score: PAOK 1-1 POT Iraklis (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.16

PAO 6 of 6 (100%) · POT 6 of 6 (100%)89.3%

PAOK: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · POT Iraklis: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · PAOK: only games against sides at POT Iraklis's level · POT Iraklis: only games against sides at PAOK's level

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.23

PAO 6 of 6 (100%) · POT 5 of 6 (83%)71.6%

PAOK: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · POT Iraklis: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · PAOK: only games against sides at POT Iraklis's level · POT Iraklis: only games against sides at PAOK's level

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY

2.15

PAO 4 of 6 (67%) · POT 2 of 6 (33%)50.9%

PAOK: both scored in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · POT Iraklis: both scored in 2 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 50% · PAOK: only games against sides at POT Iraklis's level · POT Iraklis: only games against sides at PAOK's level

POT IRAKLIS GOALS

POT Iraklis Under 1.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 90%

1.11

PAO 4 of 6 (67%) · POT 4 of 6 (67%)68.5%

POT Iraklis scored under 1.5 in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · PAOK conceded under 1.5 in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · POT Iraklis: only games against sides at PAOK's level · PAOK: only games against sides at POT Iraklis's level

POT Iraklis Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.96

PAO 4 of 6 (67%) · POT 4 of 6 (67%)68%

POT Iraklis scored in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · PAOK conceded in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · POT Iraklis: only games against sides at PAOK's level · PAOK: only games against sides at POT Iraklis's level

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.27

PAO 6 of 6 (100%) · POT 4 of 6 (67%)83.3%

PAOK: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · POT Iraklis: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · on half-time scores · PAOK: only games against sides at POT Iraklis's level · POT Iraklis: only games against sides at PAOK's level

CARDS

Over 1.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

PAO 5 of 6 (83%) · POT 4 of 6 (67%)84.2%

PAOK's games: over 1.5 cards in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · POT Iraklis's games: over 1.5 cards in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · PAOK: only games against sides at POT Iraklis's level · POT Iraklis: only games against sides at PAOK's level

Left off the list: PAOK or Both Teams Score (no result call); PAOK Over 0.5 goals (POT Iraklis's own games don't back it (3 of 6))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.5%

PAOK goals →

POT Iraklis goals ↓

0-09%

1-010%

2-08%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-19%

1-114%

2-19%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.8%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.6%

1-40.8%

2-40.5%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10

PAOKDWLWDLWWWL1.70 PPG

POT IRAKLISDWLLLDWDDW1.30 PPG

THE NUMBERS

PAOK HOMExPOT IRAKLIS AWAY

1.70SCORED A GAME1.001.20CONCEDED A GAME1.1040%CLEAN SHEETS40%0%FAILED TO SCORE33%4.60CORNERS A GAME4.002.20CARDS A GAME2.801.76xG0.571.39xG AGAINST1.27

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

718 OF 767

NO PRICE YET

The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

89%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

30%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

99%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

PAOK OR DRAW

61%

NO · 80/85

POT IRAKLIS OR DRAW

75%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (4 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

TRENDS

PAOK have scored in 90% of their games.

POT Iraklis have scored in 60% of their games.

PAOK kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

POT Iraklis kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards