NK Maribor vs NK Celje
Match details. PrvaLiga, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at Ljudski vrt, Maribor. The referee is A. Matkovic.
What's at stake. NK Maribor are 1st on 23 points after 11 games, 4 points clear of Koper. NK Celje are 6th on 15 points after 10 games, 2 points behind Nafta, 2 points clear of Aluminij. A win would take them above Nafta.
Form. NK Maribor have won six, drawn four and lost none of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W D W. In this competition NK Maribor have gone W D W D W W. NK Celje have won four, drawn two and lost three of their last nine, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L L W. In this competition NK Celje have gone W D L L W L.
The numbers. NK Maribor score 2.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. NK Maribor average 5.7 corners and 1.4 cards a game. NK Celje score 1.4 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. NK Celje average 5.4 corners and 1.5 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings NK Maribor have won one, drawn three and lost six. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, two were drawn and NK Celje won two. The last time they met, on 1 Aug 2026, it finished NK Maribor 1-1 NK Celje.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: NK Maribor are the stronger side on form and the table, but the meetings favour NK Celje. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%; six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. NK Celje's record still gives them 28% to win. The meetings do not back them.
The read. NK Maribor to win. NK Maribor are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour NK Celje.
The bets. Best bet: NK Maribor or Draw at 1.34, 70% on the records (NK Maribor unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home; NK Celje failed to win 3 of 5 away). The safer one: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.21 (73%). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.18. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (NK Maribor are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 4.5 Goals (NK Maribor are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (NK Maribor are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: NK Maribor 1-0 NK Celje (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).