Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis
Match details. Super League, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 15:30 Lagos time. It is played at Apostolos Nikolaidis Stadium, Athens. The referee is Angelos Evangelou.
What's at stake. Panathinaikos are 1st on 15 points after 6 games, 1 point clear of AEK Athens FC. Asteras Tripolis are 11th on 5 points after 6 games, 2 points behind Kalamata, 3 points clear of Atromitos. A win would take them above Kalamata.
Form. Panathinaikos have won five, drawn none and lost one of their last six, 2.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W W. Asteras Tripolis have won one, drawn two and lost three of their last six, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D L L.
The numbers. Panathinaikos score two and concede 0.5 a game over their last six, with three clean sheets. Panathinaikos average 18.2 shots (7.0 on target), 7.0 corners and 3.2 cards a game, with 64% of the ball. Asteras Tripolis score one and concede 1.7 a game over their last six, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Asteras Tripolis average 11.7 shots (5.3 on target), 3.8 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 47% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Panathinaikos have won six, drawn none and lost four. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Panathinaikos won three and Asteras Tripolis won one. The last time they met, on 22 Mar 2026, it finished Panathinaikos 2-1 Asteras Tripolis: Panathinaikos had 12 shots to 8, 64% of the ball, two yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 46%; seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 46%. Not everything agrees on goals: seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The read. Panathinaikos to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Panathinaikos the likelier winners; Panathinaikos are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Panathinaikos; the meetings favour Panathinaikos. Their goals for and against point to an open game.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 6.5 Corners (the signs point different ways); Panathinaikos Over 1.5 goals (Asteras Tripolis's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Under 4.5 Goals (Panathinaikos are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Panathinaikos 3-0 Asteras Tripolis (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).