Match details. Allsvenskan, Regular Season - 24. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 15:30 Lagos time. It is played at Gamla Ullevi, Gothenburg. The referee is Oscar Johnson.
What's at stake. Orgryte IS are 15th on 15 points after 23 games, 4 points behind Kalmar FF, 1 point clear of Halmstad. GAIS are 10th on 30 points after 23 games, 4 points behind AIK Stockholm, level on points with IF Brommapojkarna.
Team news. Orgryte IS are without A. Abukar (knee injury), R. Alm (injury), V. Ekblom (thigh injury), W. Svensson (foot injury), J. Tibbling (muscle injury), A. Abukar (knee injury). GAIS are without B. Asumang (illness), D. Collander (inactive), K. Holmen (knee injury), G. Lundgren (achilles tendon injury), W. Milovanovic (illness), R. Thorkelsson (knee injury).
Form. Orgryte IS have won one, drawn two and lost seven of their last ten, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D L. In this competition Orgryte IS have gone L L L D L D. GAIS have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D W. In this competition GAIS have gone L W L D W L.
The numbers. Orgryte IS score 1.1 and concede 2.1 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Orgryte IS average 9.6 shots (3.0 on target), 3.8 corners and 1.2 cards a game, with 42% of the ball. GAIS score one and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. GAIS average 13.2 shots (4.2 on target), 4.5 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 51% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Orgryte IS have won three, drawn two and lost five. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, Orgryte IS won one and GAIS won three. The last time they met, on 3 May 2026, it finished Orgryte IS 0-4 GAIS: Orgryte IS had 5 shots to 19, 50% of the ball, one yellow card.
The case against. Orgryte IS's record still gives them 33% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 47%. Not everything agrees on goals: six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The read. GAIS to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make GAIS the likelier winners; GAIS are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour GAIS; the meetings favour GAIS.
The bets. Best bet: GAIS (Draw No Bet) at 1.30, 70% on the records (GAIS won 2 of 5 away (draws left out); Orgryte IS lost 7 of 8 (draws left out)). The safer one: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.19 (75%). Backup: Under 2.5 first-half goals at 1.15. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Orgryte IS Under 1.5 goals (GAIS's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); GAIS Over 1.5 goals (GAIS's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 4.5 Goals (GAIS are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Orgryte IS 1-2 GAIS (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).