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NETHERLANDS - EREDIVISIE
NEC Nijmegen crestNNNEC
19:00Sun 18 Oct
FORFortuna Sittard crestFS

NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard

CLASS A
THE BETLIVELY · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
76
TOTAL GOALS
Class A
NEC Nijmegen crestNNvFortuna Sittard crestFS
Over 1.5 Goals
NEC Nijmegen v Fortuna Sittard
Netherlands - Eredivisie · 19:00
1.15odds
87%book
-11edge
3/3angles
THE READ

Match details. Eredivisie, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadion de Goffert, Nijmegen. The referee is Alex Bos.

What's at stake. NEC Nijmegen are 11th on 9 points after 8 games, 2 points behind Excelsior, level on points with Sparta Rotterdam. A win would take them above Excelsior. Fortuna Sittard are 7th on 14 points after 8 games, level on points with Groningen, 2 points clear of Heerenveen. A win would take them above Groningen.

Team news. NEC Nijmegen are without E. Mor (groin injury), B. Nuytinck (ankle injury), P. Sandler (injury), D. Tadic (injury), A. Thomas (inactive), E. Mor (groin injury). Fortuna Sittard are without R. Bayram (knee injury), I. Marquez (injury), Y. Oukili (groin injury), J. Dahlhaus (inactive), R. Bayram (knee injury), I. Marquez (injury).

Form. NEC Nijmegen have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D L L. Fortuna Sittard have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W W.

The numbers. NEC Nijmegen score 1.2 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. NEC Nijmegen average 10.5 shots (3.8 on target), 4.0 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 58% of the ball. Fortuna Sittard score 1.8 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Fortuna Sittard average 9.6 shots (4.4 on target), 3.1 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 36% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings NEC Nijmegen have won four, drawn three and lost three. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in eight. In the last four, NEC Nijmegen won two and Fortuna Sittard won two. The last time they met, on 28 Feb 2026, it finished NEC Nijmegen 2-3 Fortuna Sittard: NEC Nijmegen had 15 shots to 13, 68% of the ball, three yellow cards.

The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 68%. Six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.

The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.15, 76% on the records (NEC Nijmegen: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6; Fortuna Sittard: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.15. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Fortuna Sittard or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Fortuna Sittard win or both teams score (no result call). Predicted score: NEC Nijmegen 2-1 Fortuna Sittard (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.15
NEC 6 of 6 (100%) · FOR 4 of 5 (80%)76.1%
NEC Nijmegen: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Fortuna Sittard: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · H2H 6 of 6 · NEC Nijmegen: only games against sides at Fortuna Sittard's level · Fortuna Sittard: only games against sides at NEC Nijmegen's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 72%
1.38
NEC 4 of 6 (67%) · FOR 3 of 5 (60%)51.2%
NEC Nijmegen: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Fortuna Sittard: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 63% · H2H 5 of 6 · NEC Nijmegen: only games against sides at Fortuna Sittard's level · Fortuna Sittard: only games against sides at NEC Nijmegen's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.47
NEC 5 of 6 (83%) · FOR 3 of 5 (60%)54.6%
NEC Nijmegen: both scored in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Fortuna Sittard: both scored in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 77% · H2H 5 of 6 · NEC Nijmegen: only games against sides at Fortuna Sittard's level · Fortuna Sittard: only games against sides at NEC Nijmegen's level
NEC NIJMEGEN GOALS
NEC Nijmegen Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.11
NEC 5 of 6 (83%) · FOR 4 of 5 (80%)76.4%
NEC Nijmegen scored in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Fortuna Sittard conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 87% · H2H 6 of 6 · NEC Nijmegen: only games against sides at Fortuna Sittard's level · Fortuna Sittard: only games against sides at NEC Nijmegen's level
FORTUNA SITTARD GOALS
Fortuna Sittard Over 0.5 goalsLEANIN CODES
1.32
NEC 4 of 5 (80%) · FOR 6 of 6 (100%)66.6%
Fortuna Sittard scored in 4 of 5 away · NEC Nijmegen conceded in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · H2H 5 of 6 · Fortuna Sittard: only games against sides at NEC Nijmegen's level · NEC Nijmegen: only games against sides at Fortuna Sittard's level
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5BACKUPPAGE ONLY
1.15
NEC 4 of 6 (67%) · FOR 5 of 5 (100%)86.3%
NEC Nijmegen: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Fortuna Sittard: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 78% · H2H 6 of 6 · on half-time scores · NEC Nijmegen: only games against sides at Fortuna Sittard's level · Fortuna Sittard: only games against sides at NEC Nijmegen's level
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.21
NEC 5 of 6 (83%) · FOR 4 of 5 (80%)82.1%
NEC Nijmegen: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Fortuna Sittard: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 82% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · NEC Nijmegen: only games against sides at Fortuna Sittard's level · Fortuna Sittard: only games against sides at NEC Nijmegen's level
Left off the list: Fortuna Sittard or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Fortuna Sittard win or both teams score (no result call); Fortuna Sittard or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–1 8.8%
NEC Nijmegen goals →
Fortuna Sittard goals ↓
0-07%
1-09%
2-07%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-12%
5-10.5%
0-25%
1-28%
2-26%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.7%
1-41%
2-40.8%
3-40.4%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.3%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10
NEC NIJMEGENLLWLDLLDDD0.70 PPG
FORTUNA SITTARDWLDWLWWLWD1.70 PPG
THE NUMBERS
NEC NIJMEGEN HOMExFORTUNA SITTARD AWAY
1.00SCORED A GAME1.702.30CONCEDED A GAME1.900%CLEAN SHEETS10%12%FAILED TO SCORE12%4.00CORNERS A GAME3.101.90CARDS A GAME1.401.52xG0.961.91xG AGAINST2.19
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.12POINTS A GAME1.75-0.12GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.12-2.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-4.40.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.08LEAGUE GAMES8
Fortuna Sittard: the quality side - more points a game, better form (last 5).
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
96%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
67%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
78%
NO · 85/90
NEC NIJMEGEN OR DRAW
38%
NO · 80/85
FORTUNA SITTARD OR DRAW
93%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
NEC NIJMEGENxFORTUNA SITTARD
5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME1.802.00CONCEDED A GAME2.003.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.8100%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%80%BOTH SCORE80%3.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.47.4CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.0
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10
NEC NIJMEGEN 4 · 40%DRAW 3FORTUNA SITTARD 3 · 30%
8 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED
9 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS
6 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS
5 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS
2022-05-15NEC Nijmegen 0 – 1 Fortuna Sittard
2022-09-10NEC Nijmegen 1 – 1 Fortuna Sittard
2022-10-19NEC Nijmegen 3 – 2 Fortuna Sittard
2023-05-28NEC Nijmegen 1 – 1 Fortuna Sittard
2023-12-15NEC Nijmegen 4 – 1 Fortuna Sittard
2024-04-02NEC Nijmegen 1 – 1 Fortuna Sittard
2024-08-31NEC Nijmegen 3 – 0 Fortuna Sittard
2025-01-19NEC Nijmegen 4 – 1 Fortuna Sittard
TEAM NEWS

NEC NIJMEGEN

Out: E. Mor (Groin Injury), B. Nuytinck (Ankle Injury), P. Sandler (Injury), D. Tadic (Injury), A. Thomas (Inactive), E. Mor (Groin Injury)

FORTUNA SITTARD

Out: R. Bayram (Knee Injury), I. Marquez (Injury), Y. Oukili (Groin Injury), J. Dahlhaus (Inactive), R. Bayram (Knee Injury), I. Marquez (Injury)
TRENDS
NEC Nijmegen have scored in 70% of their games.
Fortuna Sittard have scored in 80% of their games.
NEC Nijmegen kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.
Fortuna Sittard kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
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