Match details. Eliteserien, Regular Season - 24. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 18:15 Lagos time. It is played at Alfheim, Tromso. The referee is Sigurd Smehus Kringstad.
What's at stake. Tromsoe IL are 3rd on 39 points after 22 games, 17 points behind Viking, 2 points clear of Molde. KFUM Oslo are 10th on 28 points after 22 games, level on points with Sarpsborg 08 FF, 2 points clear of Ham-Kam. A win would take them above Sarpsborg 08 FF.
Team news. Tromsoe IL are without L. Hien (red card), C. Oyvann (injury), S. Prestmo (injury), M. Tonnessen (injury), L. Hien (red card), C. Oyvann (injury). KFUM Oslo are without A. Aleesami (groin injury), P. Meliga (inactive), S. Sjokvist (injury), J. Gonstad (injury), T. Soras (thigh injury), A. Aleesami (groin injury).
Form. Tromsoe IL have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L L D. In this competition Tromsoe IL have gone D W L L D L. KFUM Oslo have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L L. In this competition KFUM Oslo have gone W W W L L D.
The numbers. Tromsoe IL score 2.3 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Tromsoe IL average 13.4 shots (6.4 on target), 4.5 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 51% of the ball. KFUM Oslo score 1.2 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. KFUM Oslo average 10.5 shots (3.9 on target), 4.4 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 41% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings Tromsoe IL have won three, drawn two and lost three. Three of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Tromsoe IL won two, one was drawn and KFUM Oslo won one. The last time they met, on 29 May 2026, it finished Tromsoe IL 0-0 KFUM Oslo: Tromsoe IL had 13 shots to 5, 60% of the ball, two yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 69% against the records' 48%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%; five of the last eight meetings went under 2.5.
The read. No firm call: Tromsoe IL are the better side, but not at this price. Tromsoe IL are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Tromsoe IL.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: KFUM Oslo Under 1.5 goals (Tromsoe IL's own games don't back it (5 of 10)). Predicted score: Tromsoe IL 1-1 KFUM Oslo (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).