Match details. LaLiga 2, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 17:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estadi Montilivi, Girona. The referee is Damaso Arcediano Monescillo.
What's at stake. Girona are 8th on 15 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Sabadell, 1 point clear of Burgos. A win would take them above Sabadell. FC Andorra are 18th on 10 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Leganes, 2 points clear of Real Sociedad II. A win would take them above Leganes.
Form. Girona have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W W L. FC Andorra have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L L.
The numbers. Girona score 1.7 and concede one a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets. Girona average 11.6 shots (5.0 on target), 3.7 corners and 3.1 cards a game, with 49% of the ball. FC Andorra score one and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. FC Andorra average 12.5 shots (4.4 on target), 4.3 corners and 3.2 cards a game, with 58% of the ball.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.
The case against. FC Andorra's record still gives them 22% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.
The read. Girona to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Girona the likelier winners; Girona are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Girona. Their goals for and against point to an open game.
The bets. Best bet: Girona or Draw at 1.21, 83% on the records (Girona unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home; FC Andorra failed to win 4 of 5 away). Backup: Over 4.5 Cards at 1.29. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Girona are a clear winner, no Unders); FC Andorra Over 0.5 goals (FC Andorra's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 5.5 Goals (Girona are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Girona 2-1 FC Andorra (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).