Le Havre vs AJ Auxerre
Match details. Ligue 1, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 16:15 Lagos time. It is played at Stade Océane, Le Havre. The referee is Eric Wattellier.
What's at stake. Le Havre are 18th on 2 points after 6 games, 2 points behind Estac Troyes. A win would take them above Estac Troyes. AJ Auxerre are 16th on 6 points after 6 games, level on points with Le Mans, 2 points clear of Estac Troyes. A win would take them above Le Mans.
Team news. Le Havre are without E. Jelert (thigh injury), F. Mambimbi (achilles tendon injury), L. Mpasi-Nzau (achilles tendon injury), T. Pembele (muscle injury), A. Seko (red card), A. Toure (knee injury). A. Seko is their centre-back. AJ Auxerre are without A. Diousse (knee injury), S. Fofana (groin injury), R. Labeau Lascary (injury), B. Okoh (knee injury), C. Akpa (injury), R. Mandengue (muscle injury). C. Akpa is their centre-back.
Form. Le Havre have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L D. AJ Auxerre have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L L.
The numbers. Le Havre score one and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Le Havre average 11.3 shots (4.5 on target), 5.5 corners and 2.3 cards a game, with 49% of the ball. AJ Auxerre score 1.6 and concede three a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. AJ Auxerre average 12.0 shots (5.0 on target), 5.8 corners and 1.7 cards a game, with 44% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Le Havre have won five, drawn three and lost two. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, Le Havre won three and one was drawn. The last time they met, on 5 Apr 2026, it finished Le Havre 1-1 AJ Auxerre: Le Havre had 10 shots to 12, 53% of the ball, four yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. AJ Auxerre are the form side, but the meetings favour Le Havre: in the last ten meetings, Le Havre won five, AJ Auxerre won two and three were drawn. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%; six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The read. No side to back. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: AJ Auxerre or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call). Predicted score: Le Havre 1-1 AJ Auxerre (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).