Match details. Eliteserien, Regular Season - 24. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time. It is played at Aker Stadion, Molde. The referee is Stian Rovig Sletner.
What's at stake. Molde are 4th on 37 points after 22 games, 2 points behind Tromso, 3 points clear of Rosenborg. A win would take them above Tromso. IK Start are 16th on 16 points after 22 games, 3 points behind Kristiansund BK. A win would take them level on points with Kristiansund BK.
Team news. Molde are without S. Diop (inactive), S. Hansen (injury), E. Hestad (leg injury), V. Hoff (knee injury), M. Kikkenborg (achilles tendon injury), H. Stenevik (injury). S. Hansen is their centre-back. IK Start are without J. Husebo (foot injury), F. Manojlovic (hand injury), K. Tonnesen (leg injury), J. Husebo (foot injury), F. Manojlovic (hand injury), K. Tonnesen (leg injury).
Form. Molde have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W W W. In this competition Molde have gone D L W W W W. IK Start have won three, drawn none and lost seven of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L W. In this competition IK Start have gone L L W L W L.
The numbers. Molde score two and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Molde average 19.5 shots (7.9 on target), 6.1 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 61% of the ball. IK Start score 1.1 and concede two a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and five games without a goal. IK Start average 18.9 shots (4.1 on target), 6.0 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 48% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last seven meetings Molde have won four, drawn three and lost none. Five of the seven went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Molde won three and one was drawn. The last time they met, on 19 Apr 2026, it finished Molde 1-1 IK Start: Molde had 11 shots to 12, 58% of the ball, three yellow cards.
The case against. Molde without S. Hansen (centre-back). IK Start's record still gives them 25% to win.
The read. Molde or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make Molde the likelier winners; Molde are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Molde. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 78%. Five of the last seven meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Molde or Draw at 1.12, 88% on the records (Molde unbeaten in 3 of 5 at home; IK Start failed to win 7 of 10). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.13. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Molde are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Molde are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Molde 2-1 IK Start (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).