Match details. Eredivisie, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 15:45 Lagos time. It is played at Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadion, Groningen. The referee is Dennis Higler.
What's at stake. FC Groningen are 6th on 14 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Ajax, level on points with Fortuna Sittard. A win would take them above Ajax. Ajax are 5th on 15 points after 8 games, 2 points behind Twente, 1 point clear of Groningen. A win would take them above Twente.
Team news. FC Groningen are without T. Hernes (injury), M. Jeng (leg injury), T. Mercera (injury), E. van der Laan (injury), T. Hernes (injury), M. Jeng (leg injury). Ajax are without S. Berghuis (injury), D. Blind (back injury), Caio Henrique (thigh injury), K. Dolberg (knee injury), A. Gaaei (injury), S. Berghuis (injury). S. Berghuis is their main creator.
Form. FC Groningen have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D D L. Ajax have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D W W.
The numbers. FC Groningen score 2.2 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet. FC Groningen average 11.1 shots (4.9 on target), 4.2 corners and 1.3 cards a game, with 50% of the ball. Ajax score three and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet. Ajax average 18.6 shots (7.8 on target), 6.7 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 64% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings FC Groningen have won one, drawn one and lost eight. Eight of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, FC Groningen won one, one was drawn and Ajax won two. The last time they met, on 21 May 2026, it finished FC Groningen 0-2 Ajax: FC Groningen had 5 shots to 12, 38% of the ball, five yellow cards.
The case against. Ajax without S. Berghuis (creator). FC Groningen's record still gives them 28% to win.
The read. Ajax or the draw. A draw is live. An open game. Their goals for and against make Ajax the likelier winners; Ajax are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Ajax. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 79%. Eight of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or Ajax at 1.31, 71% on the records (Ajax unbeaten in 6 of 7; FC Groningen failed to win 5 of 10). The safer one: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.12 (80%). Full cover: FC Groningen Over 0.5 Goals at 1.24. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: FC Groningen 1-2 Ajax (9% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Ajax or Over 1.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FCG 7 of 7 (100%) · AJA 10 of 10 (100%)100%
Ajax: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · FC Groningen: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 6 of 6 · Ajax: only games against sides at FC Groningen's level · FC Groningen: only games against sides at Ajax's level · the call is Ajax or the draw: Ajax without S. Berghuis (creator) (rule 3)
Ajax win or both teams scoreTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.10
FCG 7 of 7 (100%) · AJA 9 of 10 (90%)98.2%
Ajax: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · FC Groningen: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · H2H 6 of 6 · Ajax: only games against sides at FC Groningen's level · FC Groningen: only games against sides at Ajax's level · the call is Ajax or the draw: Ajax without S. Berghuis (creator) (rule 3)
Ajax or Over 2.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.19
FCG 6 of 7 (86%) · AJA 9 of 10 (90%)95.5%
Ajax: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · FC Groningen: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · H2H 6 of 6 · Ajax: only games against sides at FC Groningen's level · FC Groningen: only games against sides at Ajax's level · the call is Ajax or the draw: Ajax without S. Berghuis (creator) (rule 3)
Ajax or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.20
FCG 4 of 5 (80%) · AJA 6 of 7 (86%)71.9%
Ajax scored first 4 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · FC Groningen trailed or failed to win in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Ajax: only games against sides at FC Groningen's level · FC Groningen: only games against sides at Ajax's level
Ajax 1UPTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.39
FCG 4 of 5 (80%) · AJA 6 of 7 (86%)68.6%
Ajax scored first 4 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · FC Groningen trailed in 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Ajax: only games against sides at FC Groningen's level · FC Groningen: only games against sides at Ajax's level · the call is Ajax or the draw: Ajax without S. Berghuis (creator) (rule 3)
Ajax or draw and over 1.5 goalsLEANIN CODES
1.43
FCG 5 of 10 (50%) · AJA 6 of 7 (86%)67.1%
FC Groningen: the bet landed in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Ajax: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 68% · H2H 5 of 6 · FC Groningen: only games against sides at Ajax's level · Ajax: only games against sides at FC Groningen's level
Double Chance: Draw or AjaxMAINLEANIN CODES
1.31
FCG 6 of 7 (86%) · AJA 5 of 10 (50%)66.8%
Ajax unbeaten in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · FC Groningen failed to win 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 68% · H2H 5 of 6 · Ajax: only games against sides at FC Groningen's level · FC Groningen: only games against sides at Ajax's level
Ajax or draw and both teams scoreSETTLEDPAGE ONLY
1.78
FCG 4 of 10 (40%) · AJA 5 of 7 (71%)58.4%
FC Groningen: the bet landed in 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Ajax: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 56% · H2H 3 of 6 · FC Groningen: only games against sides at Ajax's level · Ajax: only games against sides at FC Groningen's level · rule 2: the meetings back Ajax: in the last 10 meetings, FC Groningen won 1, Ajax won 8 and 1 was drawn; in the last 4, FC Groningen w
Ajax or draw and over 2.5 goalsSETTLEDPAGE ONLY
1.84
FCG 3 of 10 (30%) · AJA 5 of 7 (71%)56.5%
FC Groningen: the bet landed in 3 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Ajax: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 51% · H2H 3 of 6 · FC Groningen: only games against sides at Ajax's level · Ajax: only games against sides at FC Groningen's level · rule 2: the meetings back Ajax: in the last 10 meetings, FC Groningen won 1, Ajax won 8 and 1 was drawn; in the last 4, FC Groningen w
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsSAFERIN CODES
1.12
FCG 10 of 10 (100%) · AJA 7 of 7 (100%)90.2%
FC Groningen: over 1.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Ajax: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 6 of 6 · FC Groningen: only games against sides at Ajax's level · Ajax: only games against sides at FC Groningen's level
Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.40
FCG 8 of 10 (80%) · AJA 6 of 7 (86%)74.5%
FC Groningen: over 2.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Ajax: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · H2H 4 of 6 · FC Groningen: only games against sides at Ajax's level · Ajax: only games against sides at FC Groningen's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesPAGE ONLY
1.40
FCG 8 of 10 (80%) · AJA 6 of 7 (86%)79.8%
FC Groningen: both scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Ajax: both scored in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · H2H 4 of 6 · FC Groningen: only games against sides at Ajax's level · Ajax: only games against sides at FC Groningen's level
FC GRONINGEN GOALS
FC Groningen Over 0.5 goalsFULL COVERIN CODES
1.24
FCG 9 of 10 (90%) · AJA 6 of 7 (86%)86.3%
FC Groningen scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Ajax conceded in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · H2H 4 of 6 · FC Groningen: only games against sides at Ajax's level · Ajax: only games against sides at FC Groningen's level
AJAX GOALS
Ajax Over 0.5 goalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.11
FCG 7 of 7 (100%) · AJA 9 of 10 (90%)90.8%
Ajax scored in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · FC Groningen conceded in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · H2H 6 of 6 · Ajax: only games against sides at FC Groningen's level · FC Groningen: only games against sides at Ajax's level · Ajax without S. Berghuis (rule 3)
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.13
FCG 9 of 10 (90%) · AJA 6 of 7 (86%)90.9%
FC Groningen: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Ajax: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · H2H 6 of 6 · on half-time scores · FC Groningen: only games against sides at Ajax's level · Ajax: only games against sides at FC Groningen's level
CORNERS
Over 8.5 CornersIN CODES
1.46
FCG 7 of 10 (70%) · AJA 5 of 7 (71%)70.7%
FC Groningen's games: over 8.5 corners in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Ajax's games: over 8.5 corners in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · FC Groningen: only games against sides at Ajax's level · Ajax: only games against sides at FC Groningen's level
Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–29.3%
FC Groningen goals →
Ajax goals ↓
0-06%
1-06%
2-04%
3-02%
4-00.6%
5-00.2%
0-18%
1-112%
2-17%
3-13%
4-11.0%
5-10.3%
0-27%
1-29%
2-26%
3-23%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-34%
1-35%
2-33%
3-31%
4-30.5%
5-30.1%
0-42%
1-42%
2-41%
3-40.6%
4-40.2%
5-40.1%
0-50.6%
1-50.7%
2-50.5%
3-50.2%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
FC GRONINGENWLWWLLDDWW1.70 PPG
AJAXDWWWLWWDDL1.80 PPG
THE NUMBERS
FC GRONINGEN HOMExAJAX AWAY
2.20SCORED A GAME3.001.70CONCEDED A GAME1.7010%CLEAN SHEETS10%0%FAILED TO SCORE0%4.20CORNERS A GAME6.701.30CARDS A GAME1.901.66xG2.481.92xG AGAINST1.22
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.75POINTS A GAME1.88+0.75GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.50-0.6SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+8.61.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.68LEAGUE GAMES8
Ajax: the quality side - a better goal difference, more shots than it allows.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
99%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
83%
VERY GOOD · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
61%
NO · 85/90
FC GRONINGEN OR DRAW
42%
NO · 80/85
AJAX OR DRAW
75%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
FC GRONINGENxAJAX
5GAMES52.60SCORED A GAME2.801.40CONCEDED A GAME1.604.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES4.4100%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%80%BOTH SCORE100%2.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.49.6CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.8
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10
FC GRONINGEN 1 · 10%DRAW 1AJAX 8 · 80%
7 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED
10 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS
8 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS
7 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS
2021-03-07FC Groningen 1 – 3 Ajax
2021-09-25FC Groningen 0 – 3 Ajax
2022-04-02FC Groningen 1 – 3 Ajax
2022-08-14FC Groningen 1 – 6 Ajax
2023-05-16FC Groningen 2 – 3 Ajax
2024-10-06FC Groningen 1 – 3 Ajax
2025-05-14FC Groningen 2 – 2 Ajax
2025-12-02FC Groningen 0 – 2 Ajax
TEAM NEWS
FC GRONINGEN
Out: T. Hernes (Injury), M. Jeng (Leg Injury), T. Mercera (Injury), E. van der Laan (Injury), T. Hernes (Injury), M. Jeng (Leg Injury)
AJAX
Out: S. Berghuis (Injury), D. Blind (Back Injury), Caio Henrique (Thigh Injury), K. Dolberg (Knee Injury), A. Gaaei (Injury), S. Berghuis (Injury)
TRENDS
FC Groningen have scored in 90% of their games.
Ajax have scored in 100% of their games.
FC Groningen kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
Ajax kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tableteam newscornerscards