Celta vs Alaves
Match details. LaLiga, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 15:15 Lagos time. It is played at Municipal de Balaídos, Vigo. The referee is Jose Luis Munuera Montero.
What's at stake. Celta are 11th on 8 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Villarreal, level on points with Espanyol. A win would take them above Villarreal. Alaves are 7th on 11 points after 8 games, 2 points behind Real Sociedad, level on points with Deportivo La Coruna. A win would take them above Real Sociedad.
Team news. Celta are without P. Duran (calf injury), J. El Abdellaoui (knee injury), B. Iglesias (calf injury), M. Roman (knee injury), C. Starfelt (muscle injury), P. Duran (calf injury). Alaves are without F. Garces (suspended), A. Perez (red card), M. Rodriguez (ankle injury), F. Garces (suspended), A. Perez (red card), M. Rodriguez (ankle injury).
Form. Celta have won one, drawn five and lost two of their last eight, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D D D. In this competition Celta have gone D W D D D L. Alaves have won three, drawn two and lost three of their last eight, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L W. In this competition Alaves have gone L D L L W W.
The numbers. Celta score one and concede 0.8 a game over their last eight, with four clean sheets and four games without a goal. Celta average 9.9 shots (3.2 on target), 3.1 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 50% of the ball. Alaves score 1.5 and concede one a game over their last eight, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Alaves average 11.9 shots (4.2 on target), 3.8 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 41% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Celta have won six, drawn two and lost two. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Celta won two, one was drawn and Alaves won one. The last time they met, on 22 Mar 2026, it finished Celta 3-4 Alaves: Celta had 12 shots to 14, 55% of the ball, four yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 41%; six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Celta or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Alaves or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call). Predicted score: Celta 1-1 Alaves (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).