ACADC

13:00Sun 18 Oct

REA

AD Ceuta vs Real Oviedo

CLASS A

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THE BETLIVELY · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…

TOTAL GOALS

Class A

ACv

Under 3.5 Goals

AD Ceuta v Real Oviedo

Spain - LaLiga 2 · 13:00

1.28odds

78%book

-5edge

3/3angles

THE READ

Match details. LaLiga 2, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube, Ceuta. The referee is Jose Guzman.

What's at stake. AD Ceuta are 21st on 5 points after 9 games, 2 points behind Cadiz, 4 points clear of Albacete. A win would take them above Cadiz. Real Oviedo are 9th on 14 points after 9 games, level on points with Burgos, level on points with Granada CF. A win would take them above Burgos.

Team news. Guille Vallejo is their first-choice keeper. AD Ceuta's line-up is confirmed. Real Oviedo's line-up is confirmed.

Form. AD Ceuta have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W D L. Real Oviedo have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L W.

The numbers. AD Ceuta score one and concede 1.3 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. AD Ceuta average 10.9 shots (4.2 on target), 5.3 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 51% of the ball. Real Oviedo score 1.2 and concede two a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Real Oviedo average 11.8 shots (4.1 on target), 5.7 corners and 2.9 cards a game, with 48% of the ball.

The case against. AD Ceuta's record still gives them 31% to win.

The read. Real Oviedo to win. A tight game. Real Oviedo are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Real Oviedo. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.

The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.28, 73% on the records (AD Ceuta: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home; Real Oviedo: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 9). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.09. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Real Oviedo or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Real Oviedo 1UP (the signs point different ways); Real Oviedo or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: AD Ceuta 0-1 Real Oviedo (8% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Real Oviedo or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.24

ADC 7 of 9 (78%) · REA 5 of 6 (83%)81.7%

Real Oviedo: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · AD Ceuta: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · both last 10: 84% · Real Oviedo: only games against sides at AD Ceuta's level · AD Ceuta: only games against sides at Real Oviedo's level

Real Oviedo or Draw (1UP)IN CODES

1.28

ADC 4 of 5 (80%) · REA 7 of 9 (78%)80.4%

Real Oviedo scored first 4 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · AD Ceuta trailed or failed to win in 5 of 6 at home · Real Oviedo: only games against sides at AD Ceuta's level · AD Ceuta: only games against sides at Real Oviedo's level

Real Oviedo win or both teams scoreIN CODES

1.28

ADC 6 of 9 (67%) · REA 5 of 6 (83%)76.1%

Real Oviedo: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · AD Ceuta: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · both last 10: 78% · Real Oviedo: only games against sides at AD Ceuta's level · AD Ceuta: only games against sides at Real Oviedo's level

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsBACKUPIN CODES

1.09

ADC 6 of 6 (100%) · REA 8 of 9 (89%)87.6%

AD Ceuta: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 6 at home · Real Oviedo: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · AD Ceuta: only games against sides at Real Oviedo's level · Real Oviedo: only games against sides at AD Ceuta's level

Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES

1.28

ADC 5 of 6 (83%) · REA 6 of 9 (67%)73.4%

AD Ceuta: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home · Real Oviedo: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 68% · AD Ceuta: only games against sides at Real Oviedo's level · Real Oviedo: only games against sides at AD Ceuta's level

AD CEUTA GOALS

AD Ceuta Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.42

ADC 5 of 6 (83%) · REA 7 of 9 (78%)60.1%

AD Ceuta scored under 1.5 in 5 of 6 at home · Real Oviedo conceded under 1.5 in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84% · AD Ceuta: only games against sides at Real Oviedo's level · Real Oviedo: only games against sides at AD Ceuta's level

REAL OVIEDO GOALS

Real Oviedo Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.29

ADC 6 of 9 (67%) · REA 5 of 6 (83%)70.9%

Real Oviedo scored in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · AD Ceuta conceded in 5 of 6 at home · both last 10: 78% · Real Oviedo: only games against sides at AD Ceuta's level · AD Ceuta: only games against sides at Real Oviedo's level

HALVES

Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.38

ADC 5 of 6 (83%) · REA 7 of 9 (78%)80%

AD Ceuta: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · Real Oviedo: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · on half-time scores · AD Ceuta: only games against sides at Real Oviedo's level · Real Oviedo: only games against sides at AD Ceuta's level

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.26

ADC 5 of 6 (83%) · REA 5 of 9 (56%)70.6%

AD Ceuta: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · Real Oviedo: the bet landed in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · on half-time scores · AD Ceuta: only games against sides at Real Oviedo's level · Real Oviedo: only games against sides at AD Ceuta's level

CARDS

Over 4.5 cardsIN CODES

1.48

ADC 4 of 6 (67%) · REA 7 of 9 (78%)71.1%

AD Ceuta's games: over 4.5 cards in 4 of 6 at home · Real Oviedo's games: over 4.5 cards in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · AD Ceuta: only games against sides at Real Oviedo's level · Real Oviedo: only games against sides at AD Ceuta's level

Left off the list: Real Oviedo or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Real Oviedo 1UP (the numbers (50%) and the records (73%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Real Oviedo or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Real Oviedo or draw and under 3.5 goals (the numbers (45%) and the records (60%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); 1X2 - 2UP: Real Oviedo (the numbers (35%) and the records (52%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); 2nd Half - Double Chance: Draw or Real Oviedo (the numbers (66%) and the records (86%) are 20 points apart, and nothing settles it); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 8.3%

AD Ceuta goals →

Real Oviedo goals ↓

0-08%

1-09%

2-07%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-26%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.8%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31.0%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.7%

1-41.0%

2-40.7%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.2%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

AD CEUTAWLLLLLDWDL0.80 PPG

REAL OVIEDOLDLWDWLWLW1.40 PPG

THE NUMBERS

AD CEUTA HOMExREAL OVIEDO AWAY

0.90SCORED A GAME1.102.00CONCEDED A GAME1.2010%CLEAN SHEETS50%33%FAILED TO SCORE33%5.30CORNERS A GAME5.702.50CARDS A GAME2.901.34xG1.771.26xG AGAINST1.33

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

0.71POINTS A GAME1.86-0.86GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.43+1.3SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.11.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.87LEAGUE GAMES7

Real Oviedo: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).

REAL OVIEDO 0:2 HANDICAP

–

373 OF 433

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

90%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

58%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

95%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

AD CEUTA OR DRAW

50%

NO · 80/85

REAL OVIEDO OR DRAW

63%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

AD CEUTAxREAL OVIEDO

5GAMES51.40SCORED A GAME2.001.60CONCEDED A GAME1.603.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.6100%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%100%BOTH SCORE60%5.4CARDS IN THEIR GAMES6.48.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.6

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

AD Ceuta have scored in 70% of their games.

Real Oviedo have scored in 60% of their games.

AD Ceuta kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

Real Oviedo kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards