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TURKIYE - SUPER LIG
Kasimpasa Istanbul crestKIKAS
11:30Sun 18 Oct
SAMSamsunspor crestSAM

Kasimpasa Istanbul vs Samsunspor

CLASS A
THE READ

Match details. Super Lig, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 11:30 Lagos time. It is played at Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu, İstanbul. The referee is F. Tokail.

What's at stake. Kasimpasa Istanbul are 10th on 10 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Erzurumspor FK, level on points with Rizespor. A win would take them above Erzurumspor FK. Samsunspor are 17th on 4 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Konyaspor, 1 point clear of Eyüpspor. A win would take them above Konyaspor.

Team news. Kasimpasa Istanbul are without K. Corekci (achilles tendon injury), A. Karapo (injury), M. Ouanes (muscle injury), K. Corekci (achilles tendon injury), A. Karapo (injury), M. Ouanes (muscle injury). Samsunspor are without J. Assoumou (muscle injury), C. Yuksel (injury), J. Assoumou (muscle injury), C. Yuksel (injury).

Form. Kasimpasa Istanbul have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W D D. Samsunspor have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L.

The numbers. Kasimpasa Istanbul score one and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Kasimpasa Istanbul average 10.2 shots (3.7 on target), 3.6 corners and 3.1 cards a game, with 41% of the ball. Samsunspor score 1.3 and concede 1.9 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and five games without a goal. Samsunspor average 10.7 shots (4.0 on target), 3.7 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 57% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last six meetings Kasimpasa Istanbul have won two, drawn one and lost three. Two of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, Kasimpasa Istanbul won one, one was drawn and Samsunspor won two. The last time they met, on 30 Jan 2026, it finished Kasimpasa Istanbul 0-1 Samsunspor: Kasimpasa Istanbul had 11 shots to 8, 52% of the ball, three yellow cards.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 41%. Four of the last six meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Kasimpasa Istanbul or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Kasimpasa Istanbul or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Kasimpasa Istanbul or Both Teams Score (no result call). Predicted score: Kasimpasa Istanbul 1-1 Samsunspor (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.11
KAS 5 of 5 (100%) · SAM 7 of 10 (70%)87.8%
Kasimpasa Istanbul: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Samsunspor: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 4 of 6 · Kasimpasa Istanbul: only games against sides at Samsunspor's level · Samsunspor: only games against sides at Kasimpasa Istanbul's level
KASIMPASA ISTANBUL GOALS
Kasimpasa Istanbul Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.30
KAS 4 of 5 (80%) · SAM 8 of 10 (80%)76.1%
Kasimpasa Istanbul scored in 4 of 5 at home · Samsunspor conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 4 of 6 · Kasimpasa Istanbul: only games against sides at Samsunspor's level · Samsunspor: only games against sides at Kasimpasa Istanbul's level
SAMSUNSPOR GOALS
Samsunspor Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.48
KAS 6 of 10 (60%) · SAM 4 of 5 (80%)67.6%
Samsunspor scored under 1.5 in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Kasimpasa Istanbul conceded under 1.5 in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 65% · H2H 4 of 6 · Samsunspor: only games against sides at Kasimpasa Istanbul's level · Kasimpasa Istanbul: only games against sides at Samsunspor's level
HALVES
Under 2.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.10
KAS 5 of 5 (100%) · SAM 7 of 10 (70%)87.5%
Kasimpasa Istanbul: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Samsunspor: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 6 of 6 · on half-time scores · Kasimpasa Istanbul: only games against sides at Samsunspor's level · Samsunspor: only games against sides at Kasimpasa Istanbul's level
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.43
KAS 4 of 5 (80%) · SAM 10 of 10 (100%)81.3%
Kasimpasa Istanbul: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Samsunspor: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · H2H 3 of 6 · on half-time scores · Kasimpasa Istanbul: only games against sides at Samsunspor's level · Samsunspor: only games against sides at Kasimpasa Istanbul's level
1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY
1.20
KAS 4 of 5 (80%) · SAM 7 of 10 (70%)81.3%
Kasimpasa Istanbul: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Samsunspor: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 6 of 6 · on half-time scores · Kasimpasa Istanbul: only games against sides at Samsunspor's level · Samsunspor: only games against sides at Kasimpasa Istanbul's level
Under 1.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.41
KAS 4 of 5 (80%) · SAM 5 of 10 (50%)69.6%
Kasimpasa Istanbul: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Samsunspor: the bet landed in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Kasimpasa Istanbul: only games against sides at Samsunspor's level · Samsunspor: only games against sides at Kasimpasa Istanbul's level
Left off the list: Kasimpasa Istanbul or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Kasimpasa Istanbul or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Kasimpasa Istanbul or Both Teams Score (no result call); Over 1.5 Cards (the numbers (94%) and the records (73%) are 21 points apart, and nothing settles it); Double Chance: Kasimpasa Istanbul or Draw (no result call); Kasimpasa Istanbul 1UP (no result call); Kasimpasa Istanbul (Draw No Bet) (no result call); Kasimpasa Istanbul or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 13.2%
Kasimpasa Istanbul goals →
Samsunspor goals ↓
0-08%
1-010%
2-08%
3-04%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-12%
5-10.4%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.9%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31.0%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.6%
1-40.8%
2-40.6%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10
KASIMPASA ISTANBULDLWDWDDWDL1.40 PPG
SAMSUNSPORWLWDWLLLLL1.00 PPG
THE NUMBERS
KASIMPASA ISTANBUL HOMExSAMSUNSPOR AWAY
1.20SCORED A GAME1.301.20CONCEDED A GAME1.9030%CLEAN SHEETS20%14%FAILED TO SCORE57%3.60CORNERS A GAME3.703.10CARDS A GAME1.401.04xG1.181.25xG AGAINST1.59
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.43POINTS A GAME0.17+0.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-1.83-1.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.07LEAGUE GAMES6
Kasimpasa Istanbul: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).
KASIMPASA ISTANBUL 2:0 HANDICAP
–
389 OF 413
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
68%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
43%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
90%
OKAY · 85/90
KASIMPASA ISTANBUL OR DRAW
89%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
SAMSUNSPOR OR DRAW
56%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
KASIMPASA ISTANBULxSAMSUNSPOR
5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME0.201.40CONCEDED A GAME2.402.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.680%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%80%BOTH SCORE20%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 6
KASIMPASA ISTANBUL 2 · 33%DRAW 1SAMSUNSPOR 3 · 50%
2 of 6BOTH TEAMS SCORED
3 of 6OVER 1.5 GOALS
2 of 6OVER 2.5 GOALS
2 of 6OVER 3.5 GOALS
2023-12-09Kasimpasa Istanbul 2 – 4 Samsunspor
2024-04-27Kasimpasa Istanbul 1 – 0 Samsunspor
2024-10-26Kasimpasa Istanbul 1 – 4 Samsunspor
2025-03-29Kasimpasa Istanbul 2 – 0 Samsunspor
2025-09-17Kasimpasa Istanbul 0 – 0 Samsunspor
2026-01-30Kasimpasa Istanbul 0 – 1 Samsunspor
TEAM NEWS

KASIMPASA ISTANBUL

Out: K. Corekci (Achilles Tendon Injury), A. Karapo (Injury), M. Ouanes (Muscle Injury), K. Corekci (Achilles Tendon Injury), A. Karapo (Injury), M. Ouanes (Muscle Injury)

SAMSUNSPOR

Out: J. Assoumou (Muscle Injury), C. Yuksel (Injury), J. Assoumou (Muscle Injury), C. Yuksel (Injury)
TRENDS
Kasimpasa Istanbul have scored in 90% of their games.
Samsunspor have scored in 50% of their games.
Kasimpasa Istanbul kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Samsunspor kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
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