Match details. Super Lig, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 11:30 Lagos time. It is played at Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu, İstanbul. The referee is F. Tokail.
What's at stake. Kasimpasa Istanbul are 10th on 10 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Erzurumspor FK, level on points with Rizespor. A win would take them above Erzurumspor FK. Samsunspor are 17th on 4 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Konyaspor, 1 point clear of Eyüpspor. A win would take them above Konyaspor.
Team news. Kasimpasa Istanbul are without K. Corekci (achilles tendon injury), A. Karapo (injury), M. Ouanes (muscle injury), K. Corekci (achilles tendon injury), A. Karapo (injury), M. Ouanes (muscle injury). Samsunspor are without J. Assoumou (muscle injury), C. Yuksel (injury), J. Assoumou (muscle injury), C. Yuksel (injury).
Form. Kasimpasa Istanbul have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W D D. Samsunspor have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L.
The numbers. Kasimpasa Istanbul score one and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Kasimpasa Istanbul average 10.2 shots (3.7 on target), 3.6 corners and 3.1 cards a game, with 41% of the ball. Samsunspor score 1.3 and concede 1.9 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and five games without a goal. Samsunspor average 10.7 shots (4.0 on target), 3.7 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 57% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last six meetings Kasimpasa Istanbul have won two, drawn one and lost three. Two of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, Kasimpasa Istanbul won one, one was drawn and Samsunspor won two. The last time they met, on 30 Jan 2026, it finished Kasimpasa Istanbul 0-1 Samsunspor: Kasimpasa Istanbul had 11 shots to 8, 52% of the ball, three yellow cards.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 41%. Four of the last six meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Kasimpasa Istanbul or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Kasimpasa Istanbul or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Kasimpasa Istanbul or Both Teams Score (no result call). Predicted score: Kasimpasa Istanbul 1-1 Samsunspor (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).