Match details. Sporting Hasselt face Cercle Brugge in the Beker van Belgie. Kick-off is Fri 16 Oct, 19:30 Lagos time.
Form. Sporting Hasselt have won seven, drawn none and lost three of their last ten, taking 2.1 points a game. Their last five read W W L W L. Cercle Brugge have won none, drawn three and lost seven of their last ten, picking up 0.3 points a game. Their last five stand at L L D L L.
The numbers. Sporting Hasselt score 1.3 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, keeping four clean sheets and going three games without a goal. They average 10.9 shots (5.6 on target) and 2.1 cards a game. Cercle Brugge score 1.2 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. They average 10.8 shots (3.9 on target), 7.1 corners and 1.2 cards a game.
The case against. Sporting Hasselt's record still gives them 67% to win.
The read. Cercle Brugge or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make Sporting Hasselt the likelier winners, as Sporting Hasselt are the stronger side on form and the table. Both teams' records favour Sporting Hasselt. Their goals for and against point to an open game, and their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Sporting Hasselt 1-2 Cercle Brugge (7% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).