Match details. Ligue 1, Regular Season - 6. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. CS Constantine are 6th on 7 points after 5 games, level on points with MC Alger, level on points with JS Kabylie. A win would take them above MC Alger. Js El Biar are 12th on 4 points after 5 games, level on points with Olympique Akbou, level on points with Témouchent. A win would take them above Olympique Akbou.
Form. CS Constantine have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W D. Js El Biar have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L L.
The numbers. CS Constantine score 2.6 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. CS Constantine average 10.4 shots (4.4 on target), 2.8 corners and 1.6 cards a game. Js El Biar score 1.6 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Js El Biar average 7.9 shots (3.4 on target), 2.4 corners and 1.5 cards a game.
The case against. Js El Biar's record still gives them 32% to win.
The read. CS Constantine to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make CS Constantine the likelier winners; both teams' records favour CS Constantine. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 63%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Js El Biar or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs CS Constantine). Predicted score: CS Constantine 2-1 Js El Biar (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).