INTERNATIONAL CLUBS - CAF CHAMPIONS LEAGUE

AFAPR

17:00Fri 16 Oct

ZAM

Apr FC vs Zamalek SC

CLASS D

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. CAF Champions League, 2nd Preliminary Round. Kick-off is Fri 16 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stade Amahoro, Kigali.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Apr FC have won eight, drawn none and lost two of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W W. In this competition Apr FC have gone W L. Zamalek SC have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W W. In this competition Zamalek SC have gone W W.

The numbers. Apr FC score 2.3 and concede 1.3 a game in their last seven at home, with three clean sheets. Apr FC average 8.8 shots (3.7 on target), 4.0 corners and 1.3 cards a game. Zamalek SC score 1.5 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets and three games without a goal. Zamalek SC average 10.0 shots (4.0 on target), 2.4 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 51% of the ball.

The case against. Apr FC's record still gives them 52% to win.

The read. Zamalek SC or the draw. An open game. Both teams' records favour Apr FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 67%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Apr FC 1-2 Zamalek SC (8% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

ZAMALEK SC GOALS

Zamalek SC Over 0.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 84%

1.19

APR 7 of 10 (70%) · ZAM 4 of 7 (57%)63.7%

Zamalek SC scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Apr FC conceded in 4 of 7 at home · both last 10: 70%

HALVES

1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

APR 7 of 7 (100%) · ZAM 7 of 10 (70%)85%

Apr FC: the bet landed in 7 of 7 at home · Zamalek SC: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 8.5%

Apr FC goals →

Zamalek SC goals ↓

0-07%

1-08%

2-06%

3-02%

4-00.8%

5-00.2%

0-19%

1-113%

2-18%

3-13%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-27%

1-29%

2-26%

3-22%

4-20.8%

5-20.2%

0-33%

1-34%

2-33%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-41%

1-41%

2-40.9%

3-40.4%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.3%

1-50.4%

2-50.3%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

APR FCWWWWLWWLWW2.40 PPG

ZAMALEK SCWDWWWWWWLL2.20 PPG

THE NUMBERS

APR FC HOMExZAMALEK SC AWAY

2.10SCORED A GAME1.501.20CONCEDED A GAME0.7030%CLEAN SHEETS60%4.00CORNERS A GAME2.401.33CARDS A GAME1.80

TRENDS

Apr FC have scored in 80% of their games.

Zamalek SC have scored in 70% of their games.

Zamalek SC failed to score in 33% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstcornerscards