Match details. UEFA Champions League, League Stage - 3. Kick-off is Wed 21 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time. It is played at Jan Breydel Stadium, Bruges. The referee is Luis Miguel Branco Godinho.
What's at stake. Club Brugge are 20th on 3 points after 2 games, level on points with Villarreal, level on points with Lens. A win would take them above Villarreal. Lens are 21st on 3 points after 2 games, level on points with Club Brugge KV, level on points with Napoli. A win would take them above Club Brugge KV.
Team news. Club Brugge are without J. Ordonez (foot injury), J. Ordonez (foot injury). Lens are without M. Diarra (off the roster), I. Ganiou (knee injury), J. Gradit (muscle injury), I. Jourdren (off the roster), M. Nawrocki (knee injury), A. Sima (muscle injury). I. Ganiou is their centre-back.
Form. Club Brugge have won eight, drawn none and lost two of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. In this competition Club Brugge have gone W L. Lens have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L D. In this competition Lens have gone L W.
The numbers. Club Brugge score two and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Club Brugge average 17.3 shots (6.3 on target), 6.0 corners and 2.7 cards a game, with 58% of the ball. Lens score two and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Lens average 17.1 shots (5.9 on target), 7.1 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 54% of the ball.
The case against. Lens's record still gives them 32% to win.
The read. Club Brugge to win. A draw is live. An open game. Their goals for and against make Club Brugge the likelier winners; Club Brugge are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Club Brugge. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 76%.
The bets. Best bet: Club Brugge 1UP at 1.45, 80% on the records (Club Brugge scored first 4 of last 5, led in 4; led in 4 of 5 at home). Backup: Over 2.5 Cards at 1.18. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Club Brugge or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Club Brugge or Draw & Over 1.5 (the signs point different ways); 1X2 - 2UP: Club Brugge (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Club Brugge 2-1 Lens (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).