INTERNATIONAL CLUBS - UEFA CHAMPIONS LEAGUE

STUSTU

20:00Tue 20 Oct

ATL

Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid

CLASS A

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THE BETSTRONG · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…

TOTAL GOALS

Class A

STUv

Over 1.5 Goals

Stuttgart v Atletico Madrid

International Clubs -… · 20:00

1.14odds

88%book

-3edge

2/2angles

THE READ

Match details. UEFA Champions League, League Stage - 3. Kick-off is Tue 20 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time. It is played at MHP Arena, Stuttgart. The referee is Serdar Gozubuyuk.

What's at stake. Stuttgart are 4th on 6 points after 2 games, level on points with Aston Villa, level on points with Liverpool. A win would take them above Aston Villa. Atletico Madrid are 15th on 3 points after 2 games, level on points with Villarreal, level on points with Club Brugge KV. A win would take them above Villarreal.

Team news. Stuttgart are without J. Diehl (muscle injury), S. Drljaca (off the roster), L. Stergiou (off the roster), T. Tomas (muscle injury), D. Zagadou (muscle injury), J. Diehl (muscle injury). Atletico Madrid are without Koke (muscle injury), C. Romero (muscle injury), Koke (muscle injury), C. Romero (muscle injury).

Form. Stuttgart have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L L. In this competition Stuttgart have gone W W. Atletico Madrid have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. In this competition Atletico Madrid have gone W L.

The numbers. Stuttgart score 1.8 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Stuttgart average 17.0 shots (5.8 on target), 6.4 corners and 1.1 cards a game, with 56% of the ball. Atletico Madrid score 1.7 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets. Atletico Madrid average 16.8 shots (6.5 on target), 6.4 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 61% of the ball.

The case against. Stuttgart's record still gives them 39% to win.

The read. Atletico Madrid to win. A draw is live. An open game. Atletico Madrid are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Atletico Madrid. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 75%.

The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.14, 76% on the records (Stuttgart: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10; Atletico Madrid: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 away). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.15. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Atletico Madrid or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Stuttgart Under 1.5 goals (Stuttgart's own games don't back it (5 of 10)); Atletico Madrid or draw and over 1.5 goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Stuttgart 1-2 Atletico Madrid (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Atletico Madrid or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

STU 6 of 6 (100%) · ATL 10 of 10 (100%)90%

Atletico Madrid: the bet landed in 6 of 6 away · Stuttgart: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · each game weighed by who it was against

Atletico Madrid win or both teams scoreIN CODES

1.13

STU 5 of 6 (83%) · ATL 7 of 10 (70%)79%

Atletico Madrid: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · Stuttgart: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · each game weighed by who it was against

Atletico Madrid (Draw No Bet)PAGE ONLY

1.61

STU 4 of 6 (67%) · ATL 5 of 10 (50%)74.5%

Atletico Madrid won 4 of 6 away (draws left out) · Stuttgart lost 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 65% · each game weighed by who it was against · won 5, refunded 0, lost 4

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsMAININ CODES

1.14

STU 8 of 10 (80%) · ATL 5 of 6 (83%)84.8%

Stuttgart: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Atletico Madrid: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 85% · each game weighed by who it was against

ATLETICO MADRID GOALS

Atletico Madrid Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.14

STU 5 of 6 (83%) · ATL 7 of 10 (70%)78.8%

Atletico Madrid scored in 5 of 6 away · Stuttgart conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · each game weighed by who it was against

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5BACKUPPAGE ONLY

1.15

STU 9 of 10 (90%) · ATL 6 of 6 (100%)95%

Stuttgart: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Atletico Madrid: the bet landed in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 95% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

Left off the list: Atletico Madrid or Over 2.5 Goals (the numbers (67%) and the records (95%) are 28 points apart, and nothing settles it); Stuttgart Under 1.5 goals (Stuttgart's own games don't back it (5 of 10)); Atletico Madrid or draw and over 1.5 goals (the numbers (53%) and the records (44%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 9%

Stuttgart goals →

Atletico Madrid goals ↓

0-08%

1-07%

2-05%

3-02%

4-00.6%

5-00.1%

0-19%

1-113%

2-17%

3-13%

4-10.9%

5-10.2%

0-28%

1-29%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.6%

5-20.2%

0-34%

1-34%

2-33%

3-31%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-41%

1-42%

2-41%

3-40.4%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.4%

1-50.5%

2-50.3%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

STUTTGARTLWLWWLLWWL1.50 PPG

ATLETICO MADRIDDWLLWWWWWW2.20 PPG

THE NUMBERS

STUTTGART HOMExATLETICO MADRID AWAY

1.80SCORED A GAME2.001.40CONCEDED A GAME1.0030%CLEAN SHEETS40%33%FAILED TO SCORE11%6.38CORNERS A GAME6.381.12CARDS A GAME1.881.98xG1.911.99xG AGAINST0.87

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.29POINTS A GAME2.75-0.14GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.75-0.7SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+4.91.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME3.07LEAGUE GAMES8

Atletico Madrid: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).

ATLETICO MADRID 0:2 HANDICAP

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54 OF 60

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

80%

OKAY · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

67%

OKAY · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

87%

OKAY · 85/90

STUTTGART OR DRAW

34%

NO · 80/85

ATLETICO MADRID OR DRAW

70%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

STUTTGARTxATLETICO MADRID

5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME2.401.20CONCEDED A GAME0.402.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.860%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%40%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.4–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.0

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TEAM NEWS

STUTTGART

Out: J. Diehl (Muscle Injury), S. Drljaca (Off the roster), L. Stergiou (Off the roster), T. Tomas (Muscle Injury), D. Zagadou (Muscle Injury), J. Diehl (Muscle Injury)

ATLETICO MADRID

Out: Koke (Muscle Injury), C. Romero (Muscle Injury), Koke (Muscle Injury), C. Romero (Muscle Injury)

TRENDS

Stuttgart failed to score in 33% of their games.

Atletico Madrid failed to score in 11% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAleague tableteam newscornerscards