Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Slavia Prague
Match details. UEFA Champions League, League Stage - 3. Kick-off is Tue 20 Oct, 17:45 Lagos time. It is played at Chobani Stadium, Istanbul. The referee is Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea.
What's at stake. Fenerbahce Istanbul are 28th on 1 point after 2 games, level on points with Viking, 1 point clear of Inter. A win would take them above Viking. Slavia Prague are 31st on 0 points after 2 games, level on points with FC Porto, level on points with Napoli. A win would take them above FC Porto.
Team news. Fenerbahce Istanbul are without M. Asensio (knee injury), A. Diouf (off the roster), A. Fall (off the roster), M. Muldur (knee injury), J. Oosterwolde (achilles tendon injury), M. Yandas (off the roster). Slavia Prague are without S. Chaloupek (muscle injury), T. Chory (coach's decision), H. Kante (off the roster), O. Kolar (off the roster), I. Ogbu (achilles tendon injury), A. Ouanda (injury).
Form. Fenerbahce Istanbul have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W D. Slavia Prague have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W W W. In this competition Slavia Prague have gone L L.
The numbers. Fenerbahce Istanbul score 3.4 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Fenerbahce Istanbul average 15.4 shots (6.7 on target), 5.3 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 54% of the ball. Slavia Prague score 2.2 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets. Slavia Prague average 18.4 shots (5.1 on target), 6.9 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 55% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last three meetings Fenerbahce Istanbul have won one, drawn none and lost two. Three of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. The last time they met, on 28 Nov 2024, it finished Fenerbahce Istanbul 2-1 Slavia Prague: Fenerbahce Istanbul had 5 shots to 23, 47% of the ball, ten yellow cards.
The case against. Slavia Prague's record still gives them 50% to win.
The read. Fenerbahce Istanbul or the draw. An open game. Both teams' records favour Slavia Prague. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 67%. Three of the last three meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.13, 90% on the records (Fenerbahce Istanbul: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Slavia Prague: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.15. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Fenerbahce Istanbul Over 0.5 goals (Slavia Prague's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Fenerbahce Istanbul 2-1 Slavia Prague (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).