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ALBANIA - KATEGORIA SUPERIORE
Skenderbeu Korce crestSKSKE
15:00Sat 17 Oct
AFEAf Elbasani crestAE

Skenderbeu Korce vs Af Elbasani

CLASS D
THE BETLIVELY · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
79
TOTAL GOALS
Class D
Skenderbeu Korce crestSKvAf Elbasani crestAE
Under 3.5 Goals
Skenderbeu Korce v Af Elbasani
Albania - Kategoria… · 15:00
1.24odds
81%book
-2edge
3/3angles
THE READ

Match details. Kategoria Superiore, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Skenderbeu Korce are 10th on 3 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Partizani. A win would take them above Partizani. Af Elbasani are 5th on 7 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Tirana, level on points with Laci. A win would take them above Tirana.

Form. Skenderbeu Korce have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D D L. Af Elbasani have won three, drawn six and lost one of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W L D.

The numbers. Skenderbeu Korce score 1.8 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Skenderbeu Korce average 11.4 shots (4.4 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Af Elbasani score 1.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Af Elbasani average 10.7 shots (3.7 on target), 3.8 corners and 2.1 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last four meetings Skenderbeu Korce have won none, drawn three and lost one. None of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 6 Mar 2025, it finished Skenderbeu Korce 0-0 Af Elbasani.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 30% against the records' 54%.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 41%. Four of the last four meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.23, 76% on the records (Skenderbeu Korce: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 6; Af Elbasani: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 8). Backup: Skenderbeu Korce Over 0.5 Goals at 1.45. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Af Elbasani or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Skenderbeu Korce 1-1 Af Elbasani (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SKE 6 of 6 (100%) · AFE 8 of 8 (100%)96.2%
Skenderbeu Korce: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Af Elbasani: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 4 of 4 · Skenderbeu Korce: only games against sides at Af Elbasani's level · Af Elbasani: only games against sides at Skenderbeu Korce's level
Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.24
SKE 5 of 6 (83%) · AFE 7 of 8 (88%)78.6%
Skenderbeu Korce: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Af Elbasani: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 4 of 4 · Skenderbeu Korce: only games against sides at Af Elbasani's level · Af Elbasani: only games against sides at Skenderbeu Korce's level
SKENDERBEU KORCE GOALS
Skenderbeu Korce Over 0.5 goalsBACKUPLEANIN CODES
1.45
SKE 4 of 6 (67%) · AFE 7 of 8 (88%)69.8%
Skenderbeu Korce scored in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Af Elbasani conceded in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 77% · H2H 2 of 4 · Skenderbeu Korce: only games against sides at Af Elbasani's level · Af Elbasani: only games against sides at Skenderbeu Korce's level
Skenderbeu Korce Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.31
SKE 5 of 6 (83%) · AFE 6 of 8 (75%)61.2%
Skenderbeu Korce scored under 1.5 in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Af Elbasani conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · H2H 4 of 4 · Skenderbeu Korce: only games against sides at Af Elbasani's level · Af Elbasani: only games against sides at Skenderbeu Korce's level
Left off the list: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Af Elbasani or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 13.5%
Skenderbeu Korce goals →
Af Elbasani goals ↓
0-09%
1-010%
2-07%
3-03%
4-01.0%
5-00.2%
0-19%
1-114%
2-18%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-26%
1-28%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.7%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.7%
1-41.0%
2-40.6%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.2%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10
SKENDERBEU KORCEWDLDLLDDWL1.00 PPG
AF ELBASANIWWDDDDLWDD1.50 PPG
THE NUMBERS
SKENDERBEU KORCE HOMExAF ELBASANI AWAY
1.40SCORED A GAME1.401.20CONCEDED A GAME1.0010%CLEAN SHEETS20%33%FAILED TO SCORE0%4.78CORNERS A GAME3.782.00CARDS A GAME2.11
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
649 OF 684
NO PRICE YET
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game.
OVER 2.5 CARDS
–
258 OF 280
NO PRICE YET
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game and the Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
0.40POINTS A GAME1.20-0.80GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.00–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-5.80.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.25LEAGUE GAMES5
Af Elbasani: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).
AF ELBASANI 0:2 HANDICAP
–
373 OF 433
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
93%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
49%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
99%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
SKENDERBEU KORCE OR DRAW
63%
NO · 80/85
AF ELBASANI OR DRAW
64%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
SKENDERBEU KORCExAF ELBASANI
5GAMES50.80SCORED A GAME1.401.60CONCEDED A GAME1.402.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.880%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%60%BOTH SCORE100%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 4
SKENDERBEU KORCE 0 · 0%DRAW 3AF ELBASANI 1 · 25%
2 of 4BOTH TEAMS SCORED
3 of 4OVER 1.5 GOALS
0 of 4OVER 2.5 GOALS
0 of 4OVER 3.5 GOALS
2024-08-19Skenderbeu Korce 1 – 1 Af Elbasani
2024-10-26Skenderbeu Korce 1 – 1 Af Elbasani
2024-12-20Skenderbeu Korce 0 – 2 Af Elbasani
2025-03-06Skenderbeu Korce 0 – 0 Af Elbasani
TRENDS
Skenderbeu Korce have scored in 70% of their games.
Af Elbasani have scored in 90% of their games.
Skenderbeu Korce kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
Af Elbasani kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
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