ENGLAND AMATEUR - ISTHMIAN LEAGUE, PR. DIV

WUWEL

15:00Sat 17 Oct

BUR

Welling United vs Burgess Hill Town

CLASS E

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THE BETLIVELY · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…

DOUBLE CHANCE

Class E

WUv

Double Chance: Welling United or…

Welling United v Burgess Hill Town

England Amateur -… · 15:00

1.27odds

79%book

-9edge

1/1angles

THE READ

Match details. Isthmian League, Pr. Div, Regular Season - 13. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Welling United are 3rd on 24 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Lewes, level on points with Dartford. A win would take them above Lewes. Burgess Hill Town are 9th on 17 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Chatham Town, level on points with St Albans City. A win would take them above Chatham Town.

Form. Welling United have won seven, drawn none and lost three of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W W. In this competition Welling United have gone L W W W W L. Burgess Hill Town have won four, drawn five and lost one of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W D D. In this competition Burgess Hill Town have gone W D W D D W.

The numbers. Welling United score 2.4 and concede 0.2 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets. Welling United average 7.0 corners and 1.0 cards a game. Burgess Hill Town score 1.8 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Burgess Hill Town average 3.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game.

Head to head. Burgess Hill Town have won all of the last two meetings. Two of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 7 Mar 2026, it finished Welling United 1-2 Burgess Hill Town.

The case against. Burgess Hill Town's record still gives them 25% to win.

The read. Welling United to win. A tight game. Welling United are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Welling United. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 47%.

The bets. Best bet: Welling United or Draw at 1.27, 70% on the records (Welling United unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home; Burgess Hill Town failed to win 6 of 10). Leave: Welling United or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Burgess Hill Town Under 1.5 goals (Burgess Hill Town's own games don't back it (4 of 10)); 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Welling United 1-0 Burgess Hill Town (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Welling United or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY

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WEL 5 of 5 (100%) · BUR 8 of 10 (80%)88.3%

Welling United: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Burgess Hill Town: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Welling United: only games against sides at Burgess Hill Town's level · Burgess Hill Town: only games against sides at Welling United's level

Welling United or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

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WEL 5 of 5 (100%) · BUR 5 of 10 (50%)71.7%

Welling United: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Burgess Hill Town: the bet landed in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · Welling United: only games against sides at Burgess Hill Town's level · Burgess Hill Town: only games against sides at Welling United's level

Double Chance: Welling United or DrawMAININ CODES

1.27

WEL 5 of 5 (100%) · BUR 6 of 10 (60%)70%

Welling United unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home · Burgess Hill Town failed to win 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · Welling United: only games against sides at Burgess Hill Town's level · Burgess Hill Town: only games against sides at Welling United's level

Welling United (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY

1.56

WEL 5 of 5 (100%) · BUR 1 of 5 (20%)64%

Welling United won 5 of 5 at home (draws left out) · Burgess Hill Town lost 1 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 45% · Welling United: only games against sides at Burgess Hill Town's level · Burgess Hill Town: only games against sides at Welling United's level · won 6, refunded 2, lost 0

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

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WEL 5 of 5 (100%) · BUR 10 of 10 (100%)94.8%

Welling United: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Burgess Hill Town: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Welling United: only games against sides at Burgess Hill Town's level · Burgess Hill Town: only games against sides at Welling United's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

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WEL 4 of 5 (80%) · BUR 9 of 10 (90%)87.1%

Welling United: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Burgess Hill Town: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Welling United: only games against sides at Burgess Hill Town's level · Burgess Hill Town: only games against sides at Welling United's level

WELLING UNITED GOALS

Welling United Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

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WEL 5 of 5 (100%) · BUR 8 of 10 (80%)76.8%

Welling United scored in 5 of 5 at home · Burgess Hill Town conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Welling United: only games against sides at Burgess Hill Town's level · Burgess Hill Town: only games against sides at Welling United's level

Left off the list: Welling United or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Burgess Hill Town Under 1.5 goals (Burgess Hill Town's own games don't back it (4 of 10)); 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals (the numbers (72%) and the records (93%) are 21 points apart, and nothing settles it); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Welling United or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 9.7%

Welling United goals →

Burgess Hill Town goals ↓

0-08%

1-010%

2-08%

3-04%

4-01%

5-00.4%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-23%

4-20.9%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.6%

1-40.8%

2-40.6%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

WELLING UNITEDLWWWLWWWWL2.10 PPG

BURGESS HILL TOWNLWDDWDDWDW1.70 PPG

THE NUMBERS

WELLING UNITED HOMExBURGESS HILL TOWN AWAY

1.80SCORED A GAME1.801.00CONCEDED A GAME1.1030%CLEAN SHEETS20%9%FAILED TO SCORE10%7.00CORNERS A GAME3.001.00CARDS A GAME2.00

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

2.18POINTS A GAME1.70+0.91GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.70–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–2.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.811LEAGUE GAMES10

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

90%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

38%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

85%

OKAY · 85/90

WELLING UNITED OR DRAW

93%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

BURGESS HILL TOWN OR DRAW

25%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

WELLING UNITEDxBURGESS HILL TOWN

5GAMES51.60SCORED A GAME2.000.40CONCEDED A GAME1.002.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.040%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%20%BOTH SCORE80%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 2

WELLING UNITED 0 · 0%DRAW 0BURGESS HILL TOWN 2 · 100%

2025-11-08Welling United 1 – 2 Burgess Hill Town

2026-03-07Welling United 1 – 2 Burgess Hill Town

TRENDS

Welling United have scored in 90% of their games.

Burgess Hill Town have scored in 90% of their games.

Welling United kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Burgess Hill Town kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards