Match details. Primera Division, Clausura - 13. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 21:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Olimpico de la UCV, Caracas.
What's at stake. Deportivo La Guaira are 6th on 17 points after 12 games, 1 point behind Portuguesa FC, level on points with Monagas SC. A win would take them above Portuguesa FC. Trujillanos FC are 11th on 11 points after 12 games, 3 points behind Caracas FC, level on points with Rayo Zuliano. A win would take them level on points with Caracas FC.
Form. Deportivo La Guaira have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L W. In this competition Deportivo La Guaira have gone D L L L W D. Trujillanos FC have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L W L. In this competition Trujillanos FC have gone L D L W L L.
The numbers. Deportivo La Guaira score 2.2 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Deportivo La Guaira average 4.2 corners and 3.0 cards a game. Trujillanos FC score 0.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Trujillanos FC average 4.5 corners and 2.8 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Deportivo La Guaira have won five, drawn three and lost one. Four of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Deportivo La Guaira won three and Trujillanos FC won one. The last time they met, on 25 Apr 2026, it finished Deportivo La Guaira 1-0 Trujillanos FC.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%; five of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. Trujillanos FC's record still gives them 32% to win.
The read. Deportivo La Guaira to win. Their goals for and against make Deportivo La Guaira the likelier winners; Deportivo La Guaira are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Deportivo La Guaira; the meetings favour Deportivo La Guaira.
The bets. Best bet: Deportivo La Guaira (Draw No Bet) at 1.19, 89% on the records (Deportivo La Guaira won 2 of 5 at home (draws left out); Trujillanos FC lost 6 of 8 (draws left out)). Backup: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.23. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Deportivo La Guaira are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Deportivo La Guaira are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Deportivo La Guaira 2-0 Trujillanos FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).