Match details. Liga Nacional, Apertura - 10. Kick-off is Fri 16 Oct, 00:15 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Yankel Rosenthal, San Pedro Sula.
What's at stake. CD Marathon San Pedro Sula are 3rd on 18 points after 9 games, 2 points behind CD Olimpia, 2 points clear of CD Motagua. A win would take them above CD Olimpia. Olancho FC are 5th on 12 points after 9 games, 4 points behind CD Motagua, 1 point clear of Génesis.
Form. CD Marathon San Pedro Sula have won five, drawn three and lost one of their last nine, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W W W. In this competition CD Marathon San Pedro Sula have gone D L W W W D. Olancho FC have won two, drawn six and lost one of their last nine, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D D L. In this competition Olancho FC have gone D D D D L D.
The numbers. CD Marathon San Pedro Sula score 1.6 and concede 0.7 a game over their last nine, with five clean sheets. CD Marathon San Pedro Sula average 11.7 shots (4.6 on target), 5.7 corners and 2.7 cards a game. Olancho FC score 0.6 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Olancho FC average 11.3 shots (4.9 on target), 4.3 corners and 2.9 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings CD Marathon San Pedro Sula have won six, drawn two and lost two. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, CD Marathon San Pedro Sula won two, one was drawn and Olancho FC won one. The last time they met, on 12 Apr 2026, it finished CD Marathon San Pedro Sula 0-2 Olancho FC.
The read. CD Marathon San Pedro Sula to win. A tight game. CD Marathon San Pedro Sula are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour CD Marathon San Pedro Sula. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 31%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); CD Marathon San Pedro Sula Over 0.5 goals (Olancho FC's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CD Marathon San Pedro Sula 1-0 Olancho FC (16% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).