Altrincham FC vs FC United of Manchester
FC United of Manchester scored in 4 of 6 away · Altrincham FC conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80%
Match details. FA Cup, 4th Round Qualifying. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Moss Lane, Altrincham.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Altrincham FC have won eight, drawn none and lost two of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W W. FC United of Manchester have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L W L.
The numbers. Altrincham FC score 2.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Altrincham FC average 9.3 shots (4.6 on target), 5.4 corners and 2.1 cards a game. FC United of Manchester score two and concede 1.5 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. FC United of Manchester average 13.2 shots (5.8 on target), 4.8 corners and 0.6 cards a game.
Head to head. The last time they met, on 27 Nov 2011, it finished Altrincham FC 1-2 FC United of Manchester.
The case against. FC United of Manchester's record still gives them 21% to win.
The read. Altrincham FC to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Altrincham FC the likelier winners; Altrincham FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Altrincham FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 82%.
The bets. Best bet: Altrincham FC or Draw at 1.11, 79% on the records (Altrincham FC unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home; FC United of Manchester failed to win 4 of 6 away). Full cover: FC United of Manchester Over 0.5 Goals at 1.61. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Leave: Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Altrincham FC or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Altrincham FC or draw and over 2.5 goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Altrincham FC 2-1 FC United of Manchester (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).