Match details. Super Lig, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Mon 19 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time. It is played at Papara Park, Trabzon. The referee is C. Aydin.
What's at stake. Trabzonspor are 5th on 13 points after 7 games, 2 points behind Beşiktaş, level on points with Çorum FK. A win would take them above Beşiktaş. Besiktas Istanbul are 4th on 15 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Fenerbahçe, 2 points clear of Trabzonspor. A win would take them above Fenerbahçe.
Team news. Trabzonspor are without A. Batagov (knee injury), M. Kabasakal (red card), O. Yokuslu (knee injury), O. Cevikkan (tendon injury), P. Onuachu (injury), A. Batagov (knee injury). Besiktas Istanbul are without V. Cerny (muscle injury), M. Rashica (injury), V. Cerny (muscle injury), M. Rashica (injury).
Form. Trabzonspor have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L W. Besiktas Istanbul have won seven, drawn none and lost three of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W W.
The numbers. Trabzonspor score two and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Trabzonspor average 13.1 shots (5.9 on target), 5.6 corners and 2.9 cards a game, with 55% of the ball. Besiktas Istanbul score 1.4 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Besiktas Istanbul average 15.0 shots (6.7 on target), 6.6 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 62% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Trabzonspor have won two, drawn five and lost three. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, Trabzonspor won one, two were drawn and Besiktas Istanbul won one. The last time they met, on 9 May 2026, it finished Trabzonspor 2-1 Besiktas Istanbul: Trabzonspor had 10 shots to 21, 37% of the ball, three yellow cards.
The case against. Besiktas Istanbul's record still gives them 48% to win.
The read. Trabzonspor or the draw. A draw is live. An open game. Besiktas Istanbul are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Besiktas Istanbul. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 75%. Six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.16, 78% on the records (Trabzonspor: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 7; Besiktas Istanbul: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6). Backup: Trabzonspor or Both Teams Score at 1.18. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Trabzonspor or Draw & Over 1.5 (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Trabzonspor 2-1 Besiktas Istanbul (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).