Hebburn Town vs Scarborough Athletic
Match details. National League North, National League North - 14. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Hebburn Town are 7th on 18 points after 11 games, 1 point behind King's Lynn Town, 1 point clear of Spalding United. A win would take them above King's Lynn Town. Scarborough Athletic are 19th on 12 points after 11 games, 2 points behind Merthyr Town, 3 points clear of Southport. A win would take them above Merthyr Town.
Form. Hebburn Town have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L W L. Scarborough Athletic have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D D W.
The numbers. Hebburn Town score 1.5 and concede 1.8 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet. Hebburn Town average 5.0 corners and 1.5 cards a game. Scarborough Athletic score 1.2 and concede 1.7 a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets. Scarborough Athletic average 5.0 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.40, 73% on the records (Hebburn Town: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Scarborough Athletic: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 7). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.13. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Hebburn Town 1-1 Scarborough Athletic (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).