ATAFC

15:00Sat 17 Oct

DAR

AFC Telford United vs Darlington FC

CLASS E

THE READ

Match details. National League North, National League North - 12. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at New Bucks Head, Telford.

What's at stake. AFC Telford United are 22nd on 9 points after 11 games, level on points with Radcliffe, 1 point clear of Darlington 1883. A win would take them above Radcliffe. Darlington FC are 23rd on 8 points after 11 games, 1 point behind AFC Telford United, 1 point clear of Spennymoor Town. A win would take them above AFC Telford United.

Form. AFC Telford United have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D D D. Darlington FC have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D W L.

The numbers. AFC Telford United score 0.8 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. AFC Telford United average 4.7 corners and 1.9 cards a game. Darlington FC score 1.7 and concede 2.7 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet. Darlington FC average 5.4 corners and 3.0 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last nine meetings AFC Telford United have won three, drawn three and lost three. Eight of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, AFC Telford United won one, two were drawn and Darlington FC won one. The last time they met, on 18 Apr 2026, it finished AFC Telford United 1-1 Darlington FC.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make AFC Telford United the likelier winners, but Darlington FC are the stronger side on form and the table.

The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%. Not everything agrees on goals: eight of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Darlington FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Darlington FC or Draw (1UP) (no result call). Predicted score: AFC Telford United 1-1 Darlington FC (12% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.10

AFC 8 of 8 (100%) · DAR 6 of 8 (75%)95.7%

AFC Telford United: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Darlington FC: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · H2H 5 of 6 · AFC Telford United: only games against sides at Darlington FC's level · Darlington FC: only games against sides at AFC Telford United's level

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.27

AFC 7 of 8 (88%) · DAR 6 of 8 (75%)89.6%

AFC Telford United: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Darlington FC: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · H2H 3 of 6 · AFC Telford United: only games against sides at Darlington FC's level · Darlington FC: only games against sides at AFC Telford United's level

Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.67

AFC 7 of 8 (88%) · DAR 6 of 8 (75%)78.4%

AFC Telford United: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Darlington FC: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · H2H 1 of 6 · AFC Telford United: only games against sides at Darlington FC's level · Darlington FC: only games against sides at AFC Telford United's level

Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

2.55

AFC 5 of 8 (62%) · DAR 4 of 8 (50%)55.6%

AFC Telford United: under 2.5 goals in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Darlington FC: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 56% · H2H 1 of 6 · AFC Telford United: only games against sides at Darlington FC's level · Darlington FC: only games against sides at AFC Telford United's level

AFC TELFORD UNITED GOALS

AFC Telford United Over 0.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 89%

1.12

AFC 5 of 8 (62%) · DAR 7 of 8 (88%)66.3%

AFC Telford United scored in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Darlington FC conceded in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 6 of 6 · AFC Telford United: only games against sides at Darlington FC's level · Darlington FC: only games against sides at AFC Telford United's level

DARLINGTON FC GOALS

Darlington FC Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.25

AFC 7 of 8 (88%) · DAR 5 of 8 (62%)62.4%

Darlington FC scored in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AFC Telford United conceded in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 4 of 6 · Darlington FC: only games against sides at AFC Telford United's level · AFC Telford United: only games against sides at Darlington FC's level

HALVES

Under 2.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.14

AFC 8 of 8 (100%) · DAR 6 of 8 (75%)86.5%

AFC Telford United: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Darlington FC: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · AFC Telford United: only games against sides at Darlington FC's level · Darlington FC: only games against sides at AFC Telford United's level

1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY

1.30

AFC 8 of 8 (100%) · DAR 6 of 8 (75%)86.5%

Under 1.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.56

AFC 7 of 8 (88%) · DAR 5 of 8 (62%)64.6%

AFC Telford United: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Darlington FC: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 2 of 6 · on half-time scores · AFC Telford United: only games against sides at Darlington FC's level · Darlington FC: only games against sides at AFC Telford United's level

Left off the list: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Darlington FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Darlington FC or Draw (1UP) (no result call); Darlington FC 1UP (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 12.5%

AFC Telford United goals →

Darlington FC goals ↓

0-07%

1-010%

2-09%

3-05%

4-02%

5-00.6%

0-17%

1-112%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.7%

0-24%

1-26%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.4%

0-31%

1-32%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.4%

1-40.6%

2-40.5%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

AFC TELFORD UNITEDLLDDDWWLLD1.00 PPG

DARLINGTON FCDLDWLLLWLL0.80 PPG

THE NUMBERS

AFC TELFORD UNITED HOMExDARLINGTON FC AWAY

0.82SCORED A GAME1.181.55CONCEDED A GAME2.0030%CLEAN SHEETS10%27%FAILED TO SCORE18%4.71CORNERS A GAME5.431.86CARDS A GAME3.00

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

0.90POINTS A GAME0.73-0.30GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.82+4.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-1.41.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.410LEAGUE GAMES11

AFC Telford United: the quality side - more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

71%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

51%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

93%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

AFC TELFORD UNITED OR DRAW

54%

NO · 80/85

DARLINGTON FC OR DRAW

57%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 11 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

AFC TELFORD UNITEDxDARLINGTON FC

5GAMES50.60SCORED A GAME1.000.60CONCEDED A GAME2.201.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.220%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%20%BOTH SCORE80%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 9

AFC TELFORD UNITED 3 · 33%DRAW 3DARLINGTON FC 3 · 33%

6 of 9BOTH TEAMS SCORED

9 of 9OVER 1.5 GOALS

8 of 9OVER 2.5 GOALS

6 of 9OVER 3.5 GOALS

2020-11-14AFC Telford United 2 – 1 Darlington FC

2020-12-19AFC Telford United 2 – 2 Darlington FC

2021-10-02AFC Telford United 0 – 3 Darlington FC

2022-01-22AFC Telford United 5 – 0 Darlington FC

2022-11-01AFC Telford United 1 – 4 Darlington FC

2023-02-04AFC Telford United 1 – 3 Darlington FC

2025-08-25AFC Telford United 2 – 2 Darlington FC

2025-10-11AFC Telford United 6 – 0 Darlington FC

TRENDS

AFC Telford United have scored in 70% of their games.

Darlington FC have scored in 80% of their games.

AFC Telford United kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Darlington FC kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards