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ITALY - SERIE A
Parma Calcio crestPCPAR
19:45Mon 19 Oct
TORTorino crestTOR

Parma Calcio vs Torino

CLASS A
THE READ

Match details. Serie A, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Mon 19 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time. It is played at Ennio Tardini, Parma. The referee is Giovanni Ayroldi.

What's at stake. Parma Calcio are 16th on 4 points after 6 games, level on points with Monza, level on points with Udinese. A win would take them above Monza. Torino are 13th on 7 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Sassuolo, 2 points clear of Bologna. A win would take them above Sassuolo.

Team news. Parma Calcio are without P. Almqvist (calf injury), N. Elphege (illness), H. Nicolussi Caviglia (thigh injury), L. Valenti (coach's decision), P. Almqvist (calf injury), N. Elphege (illness). Torino are without E. Ilkhan (muscle injury), F. Israel (shoulder injury), N. Fortini (thigh injury), E. Ilkhan (muscle injury), F. Israel (shoulder injury), N. Fortini (thigh injury).

Form. Parma Calcio have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D L. Torino have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L W L.

The numbers. Parma Calcio score one and concede 0.8 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Parma Calcio average 8.4 shots (3.3 on target), 3.4 corners and 1.2 cards a game, with 42% of the ball. Torino score 1.1 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Torino average 8.6 shots (3.0 on target), 4.0 corners and 0.7 cards a game, with 51% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Parma Calcio have won three, drawn four and lost three. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Parma Calcio won one, two were drawn and Torino won one. The last time they met, on 13 Mar 2026, it finished Parma Calcio 1-4 Torino: Parma Calcio had 6 shots to 15, 50% of the ball, four yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%; six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.

The case against. Parma Calcio's record still gives them 32% to win.

The read. Torino to win. Torino are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Torino.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Parma Calcio Under 1.5 goals (Torino's own games don't back it (3 of 8)). Predicted score: Parma Calcio 0-1 Torino (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Torino or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
PAR 8 of 8 (100%) · TOR 7 of 8 (88%)86%
Torino: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Parma Calcio: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · H2H 5 of 6 · Torino: only games against sides at Parma Calcio's level · Parma Calcio: only games against sides at Torino's level
Torino win or both teams scoreIN CODES
1.34
PAR 7 of 8 (88%) · TOR 7 of 8 (88%)81.9%
Torino: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Parma Calcio: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · H2H 5 of 6 · Torino: only games against sides at Parma Calcio's level · Parma Calcio: only games against sides at Torino's level
2nd Half - Double Chance: Draw or TorinoPAGE ONLY
1.29
PAR 5 of 8 (62%) · TOR 6 of 8 (75%)72.4%
Torino: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Parma Calcio: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Torino: only games against sides at Parma Calcio's level · Parma Calcio: only games against sides at Torino's level
Torino or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.60
PAR 6 of 8 (75%) · TOR 6 of 8 (75%)67.5%
Torino: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Parma Calcio: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 5 of 6 · Torino: only games against sides at Parma Calcio's level · Parma Calcio: only games against sides at Torino's level
Torino or Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.20
PAR 4 of 8 (50%) · TOR 7 of 8 (88%)65.9%
Torino: the bet landed in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Parma Calcio: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · H2H 4 of 6 · Torino: only games against sides at Parma Calcio's level · Parma Calcio: only games against sides at Torino's level
Torino or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.28
PAR 3 of 5 (60%) · TOR 5 of 8 (62%)65.8%
Torino scored first 1 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Parma Calcio trailed or failed to win in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Torino: only games against sides at Parma Calcio's level · Parma Calcio: only games against sides at Torino's level
Torino 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
1.71
PAR 2 of 5 (40%) · TOR 3 of 8 (38%)50.8%
Torino scored first 1 of last 5, led in 2 · led in 3 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Parma Calcio trailed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Torino: only games against sides at Parma Calcio's level · Parma Calcio: only games against sides at Torino's level
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.09
PAR 8 of 8 (100%) · TOR 8 of 8 (100%)92.4%
Parma Calcio: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Torino: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 5 of 6 · Parma Calcio: only games against sides at Torino's level · Torino: only games against sides at Parma Calcio's level
Over 1.5 GoalsLEANIN CODES
1.43
PAR 5 of 8 (62%) · TOR 8 of 8 (100%)69.6%
Parma Calcio: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Torino: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · H2H 4 of 6 · Parma Calcio: only games against sides at Torino's level · Torino: only games against sides at Parma Calcio's level
TORINO GOALS
Torino Over 0.5 goalsLEANIN CODES
1.38
PAR 7 of 8 (88%) · TOR 7 of 8 (88%)68.3%
Torino scored in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Parma Calcio conceded in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · H2H 5 of 6 · Torino: only games against sides at Parma Calcio's level · Parma Calcio: only games against sides at Torino's level
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.37
PAR 7 of 8 (88%) · TOR 7 of 8 (88%)86.5%
Parma Calcio: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Torino: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Parma Calcio: only games against sides at Torino's level · Torino: only games against sides at Parma Calcio's level
Left off the list: Parma Calcio Under 1.5 goals (Torino's own games don't back it (3 of 8))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 0–1 9.1%
Parma Calcio goals →
Torino goals ↓
0-09%
1-010%
2-07%
3-03%
4-00.9%
5-00.2%
0-19%
1-114%
2-18%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-26%
1-28%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.7%
5-20.2%
0-33%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.8%
1-41%
2-40.6%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.2%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10
PARMA CALCIOLWWLLLDLWL1.00 PPG
TORINOLDWLLLWLDW1.10 PPG
THE NUMBERS
PARMA CALCIO HOMExTORINO AWAY
0.70SCORED A GAME1.101.30CONCEDED A GAME1.4020%CLEAN SHEETS10%50%FAILED TO SCORE17%3.40CORNERS A GAME4.001.20CARDS A GAME0.700.65xG1.301.72xG AGAINST1.54
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
0.67POINTS A GAME1.17-1.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.33-5.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-4.80.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.46LEAGUE GAMES6
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
93%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
58%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
98%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
PARMA CALCIO OR DRAW
66%
NO · 80/85
TORINO OR DRAW
64%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
PARMA CALCIOxTORINO
5GAMES50.80SCORED A GAME1.201.80CONCEDED A GAME1.402.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.6100%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%60%BOTH SCORE80%3.2CARDS IN THEIR GAMES2.29.4CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES7.6
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10
PARMA CALCIO 3 · 30%DRAW 4TORINO 3 · 30%
6 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED
7 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS
6 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS
3 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS
2018-11-10Parma Calcio 2 – 1 Torino
2019-04-06Parma Calcio 0 – 0 Torino
2019-09-30Parma Calcio 3 – 2 Torino
2020-06-20Parma Calcio 1 – 1 Torino
2021-01-03Parma Calcio 0 – 3 Torino
2021-05-03Parma Calcio 0 – 1 Torino
2025-01-05Parma Calcio 0 – 0 Torino
2025-03-08Parma Calcio 2 – 2 Torino
TEAM NEWS

PARMA CALCIO

Out: P. Almqvist (Calf Injury), N. Elphege (Illness), H. Nicolussi Caviglia (Thigh Injury), L. Valenti (Coach's decision), P. Almqvist (Calf Injury), N. Elphege (Illness)

TORINO

Out: E. Ilkhan (Muscle Injury), F. Israel (Shoulder Injury), N. Fortini (Thigh Injury), E. Ilkhan (Muscle Injury), F. Israel (Shoulder Injury), N. Fortini (Thigh Injury)
TRENDS
Parma Calcio have scored in 50% of their games.
Torino have scored in 80% of their games.
Parma Calcio kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Torino kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
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