Match details. Serie A, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Mon 19 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time. It is played at Ennio Tardini, Parma. The referee is Giovanni Ayroldi.
What's at stake. Parma Calcio are 16th on 4 points after 6 games, level on points with Monza, level on points with Udinese. A win would take them above Monza. Torino are 13th on 7 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Sassuolo, 2 points clear of Bologna. A win would take them above Sassuolo.
Team news. Parma Calcio are without P. Almqvist (calf injury), N. Elphege (illness), H. Nicolussi Caviglia (thigh injury), L. Valenti (coach's decision), P. Almqvist (calf injury), N. Elphege (illness). Torino are without E. Ilkhan (muscle injury), F. Israel (shoulder injury), N. Fortini (thigh injury), E. Ilkhan (muscle injury), F. Israel (shoulder injury), N. Fortini (thigh injury).
Form. Parma Calcio have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D L. Torino have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L W L.
The numbers. Parma Calcio score one and concede 0.8 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Parma Calcio average 8.4 shots (3.3 on target), 3.4 corners and 1.2 cards a game, with 42% of the ball. Torino score 1.1 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Torino average 8.6 shots (3.0 on target), 4.0 corners and 0.7 cards a game, with 51% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Parma Calcio have won three, drawn four and lost three. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Parma Calcio won one, two were drawn and Torino won one. The last time they met, on 13 Mar 2026, it finished Parma Calcio 1-4 Torino: Parma Calcio had 6 shots to 15, 50% of the ball, four yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%; six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. Parma Calcio's record still gives them 32% to win.
The read. Torino to win. Torino are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Torino.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Parma Calcio Under 1.5 goals (Torino's own games don't back it (3 of 8)). Predicted score: Parma Calcio 0-1 Torino (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).