INTERNATIONAL CLUBS - CONMEBOL SUDAMERICANA

CVCRV

01:30Wed 21 Oct

BOC

CR Vasco da Gama RJ vs Boca Juniors

CLASS B

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THE READ

Match details. CONMEBOL Sudamericana, Semi-finals. Kick-off is Wed 21 Oct, 01:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro, a neutral ground. The referee is Jesus Valenzuela.

What's at stake. CR Vasco da Gama RJ are 2nd on 10 points after 6 games, 3 points behind Olimpia, 3 points clear of A. Italiano. A win would take them level on points with Olimpia. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. CR Vasco da Gama RJ have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W D. In this competition CR Vasco da Gama RJ have gone W W D W D W. Boca Juniors have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W W.

The numbers. CR Vasco da Gama RJ score 1.6 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets and two games without a goal. CR Vasco da Gama RJ average 14.8 shots (5.5 on target), 4.9 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 55% of the ball. Boca Juniors score 1.9 and concede one a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Boca Juniors average 11.7 shots (4.2 on target), 4.9 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 55% of the ball.

Head to head. The last time they met, on 14 Oct 2026, it finished CR Vasco da Gama RJ 1-0 Boca Juniors: CR Vasco da Gama RJ had 9 shots to 18, 40% of the ball, three yellow cards.

The case against. Boca Juniors's record still gives them 35% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their xG points to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.

The read. CR Vasco da Gama RJ or the draw. A draw is live. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Under 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CR Vasco da Gama RJ 1-1 Boca Juniors (7% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

CR Vasco da Gama RJ or Draw (1UP)IN CODES

1.34

CRV 4 of 5 (80%) · BOC 8 of 10 (80%)80%

CR Vasco da Gama RJ scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Boca Juniors trailed or failed to win in 4 of 5 away

CR Vasco da Gama RJ or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.22

CRV 8 of 10 (80%) · BOC 4 of 10 (40%)70%

CR Vasco da Gama RJ: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Boca Juniors: the bet landed in 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60%

CR Vasco da Gama RJ or draw and under 3.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.74

CRV 7 of 10 (70%) · BOC 2 of 10 (20%)57.5%

CR Vasco da Gama RJ: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Boca Juniors: the bet landed in 2 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 45%

CR Vasco da Gama RJ 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY

1.79

CRV 3 of 5 (60%) · BOC 6 of 10 (60%)53.3%

CR Vasco da Gama RJ scored first 3 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Boca Juniors trailed in 2 of 5 away

CR VASCO DA GAMA RJ GOALS

CR Vasco da Gama RJ Over 0.5 goalsLEANIN CODES

1.39

CRV 8 of 10 (80%) · BOC 7 of 10 (70%)67.5%

CR Vasco da Gama RJ scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Boca Juniors conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75%

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.51

CRV 7 of 10 (70%) · BOC 7 of 10 (70%)70%

CR Vasco da Gama RJ: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Boca Juniors: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · on half-time scores

CARDS

Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CRV 6 of 8 (75%) · BOC 8 of 10 (80%)77.5%

CR Vasco da Gama RJ's games: over 2.5 cards in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Boca Juniors's games: over 2.5 cards in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78%

Left off the list: Under 3.5 Goals (the numbers (41%) and the records (65%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Under 2.5 Goals (the numbers (22%) and the records (45%) are 23 points apart, and nothing settles it); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (the numbers (61%) and the records (90%) are 29 points apart, and nothing settles it); Under 5.5 Goals (the numbers (77%) and the records (100%) are 23 points apart, and nothing settles it)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 7.3%

CR Vasco da Gama RJ goals →

Boca Juniors goals ↓

0-02%

1-03%

2-04%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.6%

0-13%

1-17%

2-17%

3-15%

4-13%

5-11%

0-23%

1-27%

2-27%

3-25%

4-23%

5-21%

0-32%

1-35%

2-35%

3-33%

4-32%

5-30.8%

0-41%

1-42%

2-42%

3-42%

4-40.9%

5-40.4%

0-50.4%

1-50.9%

2-51.0%

3-50.7%

4-50.4%

5-50.2%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

CR VASCO DA GAMA RJWLWDWDWDWW2.10 PPG

BOCA JUNIORSDWWDWWWDLW2.10 PPG

THE NUMBERS

CR VASCO DA GAMA RJ HOMExBOCA JUNIORS AWAY

1.60SCORED A GAME1.900.70CONCEDED A GAME1.0060%CLEAN SHEETS30%23%FAILED TO SCORE14%4.88CORNERS A GAME4.902.50CARDS A GAME2.001.54xG2.570.80xG AGAINST0.62

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

718 OF 767

NO PRICE YET

The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

2.00POINTS A GAME1.92+1.17GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.58+4.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+3.51.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.66LEAGUE GAMES12

Boca Juniors: the quality side - better form (last 5).

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

37%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

18%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

88%

OKAY · 85/90

CR VASCO DA GAMA RJ OR DRAW

86%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

BOCA JUNIORS OR DRAW

54%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 12 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

CR VASCO DA GAMA RJxBOCA JUNIORS

5GAMES51.80SCORED A GAME2.400.80CONCEDED A GAME0.802.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.260%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%40%BOTH SCORE60%4.4CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.412.4CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES7.0

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 1

CR VASCO DA GAMA RJ 1 · 100%DRAW 0BOCA JUNIORS 0 · 0%

2026-10-14CR Vasco da Gama RJ 1 – 0 Boca Juniors

TRENDS

CR Vasco da Gama RJ have scored in 70% of their games.

Boca Juniors have scored in 90% of their games.

CR Vasco da Gama RJ kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.

Boca Juniors kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tableteam newscornerscards