Kerry FC vs Cork City FC
Match details. First Division, Regular Season - 36. Kick-off is Fri 16 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time. It is played at Mounthawk Park, Tralee.
What's at stake. Kerry FC are 4th on 51 points after 35 games, 2 points behind UCD, 2 points clear of Longford Town. A win would take them above UCD. Cork City FC are 1st on 74 points after 35 games, 20 points clear of Bray Wanderers. Kerry FC have nothing left to play for.
Form. Kerry FC have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L L. Cork City FC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W L.
The numbers. Kerry FC score 1.1 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Kerry FC average 3.8 corners and 2.2 cards a game. Cork City FC score 2.2 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Cork City FC average 6.5 corners and 2.1 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last seven meetings Kerry FC have won one, drawn none and lost six. Three of the seven went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Kerry FC won one and Cork City FC won three. The last time they met, on 7 Aug 2026, it finished Kerry FC 1-3 Cork City FC.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Kerry FC the likelier winners, but both teams' records favour Cork City FC; the meetings favour Cork City FC. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%; four of the last seven meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Four of the last seven meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.50, 72% on the records (Kerry FC: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 9; Cork City FC: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 10). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.19. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Kerry FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Cork City FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Kerry FC 1-1 Cork City FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).