HSHEL

19:00Fri 16 Oct

NAC

Helmond Sport vs NAC Breda

CLASS E

THE READ

Match details. Eerste Divisie, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Fri 16 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time. It is played at Lavans Stadion, Helmond.

What's at stake. Helmond Sport are 7th on 0 points after 0 games, level on points with Emmen, level on points with MVV. A win would take them above Emmen. NAC Breda are 13th on 0 points after 0 games, level on points with Waalwijk, level on points with Roda. A win would take them above Waalwijk.

Form. Helmond Sport have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L W. In this competition Helmond Sport have gone L D L L W W. NAC Breda have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W L. In this competition NAC Breda have gone W D W W L L.

The numbers. Helmond Sport score 2.2 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Helmond Sport average 13.0 shots (4.5 on target), 3.9 corners and 3.1 cards a game, with 47% of the ball. NAC Breda score two and concede two a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. NAC Breda average 19.5 shots (6.6 on target), 5.9 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 54% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Helmond Sport have won two, drawn three and lost five. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Helmond Sport won one, two were drawn and NAC Breda won one. The last time they met, on 26 Jan 2024, it finished Helmond Sport 1-0 NAC Breda: Helmond Sport had 13 shots to 8, 48% of the ball, three yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 67%; six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.

The read. A draw. Little separates them, and both sides draw often.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: NAC Breda or Over 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); NAC Breda or Over 1.5 Goals (the call is a draw). Predicted score: Helmond Sport 1-1 NAC Breda (12% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.12

HEL 4 of 5 (80%) · NAC 4 of 5 (80%)94%

Helmond Sport: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · NAC Breda: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · H2H 6 of 6 · Helmond Sport: only games against sides at NAC Breda's level · NAC Breda: only games against sides at Helmond Sport's level

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.13

HEL 5 of 5 (100%) · NAC 5 of 5 (100%)81%

Helmond Sport: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · NAC Breda: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · H2H 3 of 6 · Helmond Sport: only games against sides at NAC Breda's level · NAC Breda: only games against sides at Helmond Sport's level

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.31

HEL 4 of 5 (80%) · NAC 4 of 5 (80%)79.8%

Helmond Sport: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · NAC Breda: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · H2H 6 of 6 · Helmond Sport: only games against sides at NAC Breda's level · NAC Breda: only games against sides at Helmond Sport's level

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.41

HEL 3 of 5 (60%) · NAC 5 of 5 (100%)59.9%

Helmond Sport: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · NAC Breda: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · H2H 2 of 6 · Helmond Sport: only games against sides at NAC Breda's level · NAC Breda: only games against sides at Helmond Sport's level

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.13

HEL 4 of 5 (80%) · NAC 4 of 5 (80%)85%

Helmond Sport: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · NAC Breda: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · H2H 6 of 6 · on half-time scores · Helmond Sport: only games against sides at NAC Breda's level · NAC Breda: only games against sides at Helmond Sport's level

Over 0.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.21

HEL 5 of 5 (100%) · NAC 5 of 5 (100%)69%

Helmond Sport: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · NAC Breda: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · H2H 2 of 6 · on half-time scores · Helmond Sport: only games against sides at NAC Breda's level · NAC Breda: only games against sides at Helmond Sport's level

CARDS

Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

HEL 6 of 8 (75%) · NAC 6 of 8 (75%)75%

Helmond Sport's games: over 3.5 cards in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · NAC Breda's games: over 3.5 cards in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Helmond Sport: only games against sides at NAC Breda's level · NAC Breda: only games against sides at Helmond Sport's level

Left off the list: NAC Breda or Over 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); NAC Breda or Over 1.5 Goals (the call is a draw)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 12.4%

Helmond Sport goals →

NAC Breda goals ↓

0-06%

1-08%

2-07%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.4%

0-17%

1-112%

2-19%

3-14%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-25%

1-28%

2-26%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-33%

2-33%

3-31%

4-30.5%

5-30.2%

0-40.8%

1-41%

2-40.9%

3-40.4%

4-40.2%

5-40.1%

0-50.2%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

HELMOND SPORTDLDLWWLLDL0.90 PPG

NAC BREDAWLWDLLWWDW1.70 PPG

THE NUMBERS

HELMOND SPORT HOMExNAC BREDA AWAY

1.60SCORED A GAME2.001.90CONCEDED A GAME1.900%CLEAN SHEETS10%10%FAILED TO SCORE10%3.88CORNERS A GAME5.883.12CARDS A GAME2.381.57xG1.871.65xG AGAINST1.12

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

718 OF 767

NO PRICE YET

The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

0.90POINTS A GAME1.70-0.30GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.10-1.9SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+4.40.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.010LEAGUE GAMES10

NAC Breda: the quality side - more points a game, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).

NAC BREDA 0:2 HANDICAP

–

373 OF 433

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

97%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

78%

OKAY · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

70%

NO · 85/90

HELMOND SPORT OR DRAW

84%

OKAY · 80/85

NAC BREDA OR DRAW

72%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

HELMOND SPORTxNAC BREDA

5GAMES52.20SCORED A GAME2.001.40CONCEDED A GAME2.003.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES4.0100%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS100%100%BOTH SCORE100%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10

HELMOND SPORT 2 · 20%DRAW 3NAC BREDA 5 · 50%

4 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED

6 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS

4 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS

4 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS

2019-08-16Helmond Sport 1 – 5 NAC Breda

2020-01-10Helmond Sport 0 – 0 NAC Breda

2020-09-06Helmond Sport 0 – 2 NAC Breda

2021-03-12Helmond Sport 2 – 3 NAC Breda

2021-11-27Helmond Sport 0 – 1 NAC Breda

2022-03-18Helmond Sport 4 – 0 NAC Breda

2022-08-05Helmond Sport 0 – 1 NAC Breda

2023-01-13Helmond Sport 2 – 2 NAC Breda

TRENDS

Helmond Sport have scored in 90% of their games.

NAC Breda have scored in 90% of their games.

Helmond Sport kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.

NAC Breda kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards