Reims vs Dijon
Match details. Ligue 2, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Fri 16 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stade Auguste-Delaune, Reims. The referee is Eddy Rosier.
What's at stake. Reims are 4th on 14 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Montpellier, 1 point clear of Nancy. A win would take them above Montpellier. Dijon are 7th on 12 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Annecy, 1 point clear of PAU. A win would take them above Annecy.
Form. Reims have won four, drawn six and lost none of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W D W. Dijon have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D L.
The numbers. Reims score 2.8 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Reims average 10.7 shots (5.4 on target), 2.8 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 47% of the ball. Dijon score 1.4 and concede one a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Dijon average 13.2 shots (5.6 on target), 3.4 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 52% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings Reims have won one, drawn three and lost four. Four of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Reims won one, two were drawn and Dijon won one. The last time they met, on 21 Mar 2021, it finished Reims 1-0 Dijon: Reims had 9 shots to 10, 46% of the ball, three yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 57% against the records' 28%.
The read. No firm call: Reims are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Reims the likelier winners; Reims are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.21, 77% on the records (Reims: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Dijon: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 8). Backup: Reims Over 0.5 Goals at 1.14. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Reims 2-1 Dijon (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).