EA Guingamp vs Pau FC
Match details. Ligue 2, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Fri 16 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stade de Roudourou, Guingamp. The referee is Vincent.
What's at stake. EA Guingamp are 11th on 8 points after 8 games, 2 points behind Metz, level on points with Dunkerque. A win would take them above Metz. Pau FC are 8th on 11 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Dijon, level on points with Sochaux. A win would take them above Dijon.
Form. EA Guingamp have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W D D. Pau FC have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D D.
The numbers. EA Guingamp score 1.4 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. EA Guingamp average 12.0 shots (4.6 on target), 3.7 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 52% of the ball. Pau FC score 1.3 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Pau FC average 12.2 shots (4.6 on target), 4.5 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 48% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings EA Guingamp have won five, drawn one and lost four. Eight of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, EA Guingamp won one, one was drawn and Pau FC won two. The last time they met, on 17 Apr 2026, it finished EA Guingamp 1-2 Pau FC: EA Guingamp had 5 shots to 9, 44% of the ball, five yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%; eight of the last ten meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%. Eight of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.26, 74% on the records (EA Guingamp: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home; Pau FC: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 10). Backup: Under 2.5 first-half goals at 1.11. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Pau FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Pau FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Pau FC win or both teams score (no result call). Predicted score: EA Guingamp 2-1 Pau FC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).