Match details. 3. Liga, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Fri 16 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time. It is played at Südstadion, Cologne, a neutral ground. The referee is Henry Schroder.
What's at stake. Fortuna Cologne are 15th on 10 points after 9 games, 1 point behind SV Wehen, level on points with SV Meppen. A win would take them above SV Wehen. VfB Stuttgart II are 11th on 11 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Verl, level on points with Alemannia Aachen. A win would take them above Verl.
Form. Fortuna Cologne have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L D. VfB Stuttgart II have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D L L.
The numbers. Fortuna Cologne score one and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and five games without a goal. Fortuna Cologne average 7.7 shots (2.5 on target), 3.8 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 42% of the ball. VfB Stuttgart II score 1.9 and concede 2.2 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets. VfB Stuttgart II average 9.7 shots (4.5 on target), 3.6 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 50% of the ball.
Head to head. VfB Stuttgart II have won all of the last four meetings. Three of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 12 Mar 2016, it finished Fortuna Cologne 1-3 VfB Stuttgart II.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%. Three of the last four meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.17, 78% on the records (Fortuna Cologne: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 9; VfB Stuttgart II: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10). Backup: VfB Stuttgart II Over 0.5 Goals at 1.25. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Fortuna Cologne or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); VfB Stuttgart II or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Fortuna Cologne 2-1 VfB Stuttgart II (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).