HKHOL

17:30Fri 16 Oct

HER

HER

Holstein Kiel vs Hertha

CLASS E

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. 2. Bundesliga, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Fri 16 Oct, 17:30 Lagos time. It is played at Holstein-Stadion, Kiel. The referee is Jarno Wienefeld.

What's at stake. Holstein Kiel are 18th on 4 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Karlsruher SC. A win would take them above Karlsruher SC. Hertha are 1st on 21 points after 7 games, 4 points clear of 1. FC Nürnberg.

Form. Holstein Kiel have won none, drawn four and lost three of their last seven, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L D L. In this competition Holstein Kiel have gone L D L D L D. Hertha have won seven, drawn none and lost none of their last seven, 3.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. In this competition Hertha have gone W W W W W W.

The numbers. Holstein Kiel score one and concede 1.6 a game over their last seven, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Holstein Kiel average 14.3 shots (3.3 on target), 6.1 corners and 3.9 cards a game, with 56% of the ball. Hertha score 2.7 and concede 1.1 a game over their last seven, with one clean sheet. Hertha average 19.1 shots (6.9 on target), 5.6 corners and 3.3 cards a game, with 48% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last four meetings Holstein Kiel have won one, drawn one and lost two. Two of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 25 Apr 2026, it finished Holstein Kiel 1-0 Hertha: Holstein Kiel had 6 shots to 23, 41% of the ball, eight yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 42% against the records' 68%.

The read. No firm call: Hertha are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Hertha are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Hertha. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Hertha or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (Hertha are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Hertha are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Holstein Kiel 1-2 Hertha (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Hertha or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

HOL 7 of 7 (100%) · HER 7 of 7 (100%)97.3%

Hertha: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Holstein Kiel: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 3 of 4 · Hertha: only games against sides at Holstein Kiel's level · Holstein Kiel: only games against sides at Hertha's level

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.11

HOL 5 of 7 (71%) · HER 6 of 7 (86%)75.4%

Holstein Kiel: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Hertha: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · H2H 2 of 4 · Holstein Kiel: only games against sides at Hertha's level · Hertha: only games against sides at Holstein Kiel's level

HERTHA GOALS

Hertha Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.14

HOL 7 of 7 (100%) · HER 7 of 7 (100%)82.8%

Hertha scored in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Holstein Kiel conceded in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 3 of 4 · Hertha: only games against sides at Holstein Kiel's level · Holstein Kiel: only games against sides at Hertha's level

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.12

HOL 6 of 7 (86%) · HER 6 of 7 (86%)87.8%

Holstein Kiel: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Hertha: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · H2H 4 of 4 · on half-time scores · Holstein Kiel: only games against sides at Hertha's level · Hertha: only games against sides at Holstein Kiel's level

2nd Half - Hertha Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.47

HOL 6 of 7 (86%) · HER 5 of 7 (71%)74.5%

Hertha: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Holstein Kiel: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · H2H 2 of 4 · on half-time scores · Hertha: only games against sides at Holstein Kiel's level · Holstein Kiel: only games against sides at Hertha's level

Over 0.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.24

HOL 5 of 7 (71%) · HER 5 of 7 (71%)68.4%

Holstein Kiel: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Hertha: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · H2H 2 of 4 · on half-time scores · Holstein Kiel: only games against sides at Hertha's level · Hertha: only games against sides at Holstein Kiel's level

Left off the list: Hertha or Over 2.5 Goals (the numbers (67%) and the records (90%) are 23 points apart, and nothing settles it); Under 4.5 Goals (Hertha are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Hertha are a clear winner - no Unders)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 8.9%

Holstein Kiel goals →

Hertha goals ↓

0-08%

1-08%

2-05%

3-02%

4-00.6%

5-00.2%

0-19%

1-113%

2-17%

3-13%

4-10.9%

5-10.2%

0-27%

1-29%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-34%

1-34%

2-33%

3-31%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-41%

1-42%

2-41.0%

3-40.4%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.4%

1-50.5%

2-50.3%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 7

HOLSTEIN KIELDDLDLDL0.57 PPG

HERTHAWWWWWWW3.00 PPG

THE NUMBERS

HOLSTEIN KIEL HOMExHERTHA AWAY

1.00SCORED A GAME2.711.57CONCEDED A GAME1.140%CLEAN SHEETS14%43%FAILED TO SCORE0%6.14CORNERS A GAME5.573.86CARDS A GAME3.291.62xG2.031.57xG AGAINST1.35

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

0.57POINTS A GAME3.00-0.57GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.57-1.4SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+2.80.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME3.07LEAGUE GAMES7

Hertha: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).

HERTHA 0:2 HANDICAP

–

54 OF 60

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

80%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

67%

OKAY · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

91%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

HOLSTEIN KIEL OR DRAW

54%

NO · 80/85

HERTHA OR DRAW

89%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

HOLSTEIN KIELxHERTHA

5GAMES50.60SCORED A GAME2.801.40CONCEDED A GAME1.402.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES4.260%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS100%40%BOTH SCORE100%6.2CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.010.8CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES13.2

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 4

HOLSTEIN KIEL 1 · 25%DRAW 1HERTHA 2 · 50%

2 of 4BOTH TEAMS SCORED

2 of 4OVER 1.5 GOALS

2 of 4OVER 2.5 GOALS

2 of 4OVER 3.5 GOALS

2023-09-24Holstein Kiel 2 – 3 Hertha

2024-03-01Holstein Kiel 2 – 2 Hertha

2025-11-29Holstein Kiel 0 – 1 Hertha

2026-04-25Holstein Kiel 1 – 0 Hertha

TRENDS

Holstein Kiel failed to score in 43% of their games.

Hertha failed to score in 0% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAhead to headleague tablecornerscards