Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC vs Shelbourne FC
Shelbourne FC scored under 1.5 in 4 of 5 away · Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC conceded under 1.5 in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80% · H2H 5 of 6 · Shelbourne FC: only games against sides at Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC's level · Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC: only games against sides at Shelbourne FC's level
Match details. Premier Division, Regular Season - 34. Kick-off is Fri 16 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time. It is played at Richmond Park, Dublin.
What's at stake. Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC are 2nd on 59 points after 32 games, 6 points behind Shamrock Rovers, level on points with Bohemians. Shelbourne FC are 4th on 43 points after 33 games, 16 points behind Bohemians, 2 points clear of Derry City. Shelbourne FC have nothing left to play for.
Form. Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L W. In this competition Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC have gone W W W L W W. Shelbourne FC have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L L. In this competition Shelbourne FC have gone W D W L L D.
The numbers. Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC score 1.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC average 15.1 shots (6.1 on target), 5.0 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 52% of the ball. Shelbourne FC score one and concede one a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Shelbourne FC average 16.0 shots (4.6 on target), 5.5 corners and 3.5 cards a game, with 56% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC have won four, drawn two and lost four. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC won two, one was drawn and Shelbourne FC won one. The last time they met, on 9 Aug 2026, it finished Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC 2-1 Shelbourne FC: Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC had 11 shots to 15, 40% of the ball, eight yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 64% against the records' 40%.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 28%.
The read. No firm call: Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC the likelier winners; Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC are the stronger side on form and the table.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.23, 73% on the records (Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Shelbourne FC: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 away). Full cover: Shelbourne FC Under 1.5 Goals at 1.25. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC 2-1 Shelbourne FC (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).