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NORTHERN IRELAND - PREMIERSHIP
Larne FC crestLFLAR
19:45Fri 16 Oct
COLColeraine FC crestCF

Larne FC vs Coleraine FC

CLASS D
THE READ

Match details. Premiership, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Fri 16 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time. It is played at Inver Park, Larne.

What's at stake. Larne FC are 3rd on 19 points after 7 games, 6 points behind Linfield, 2 points clear of Glentoran. Coleraine FC are 1st on 28 points after 11 games, 3 points clear of Linfield.

Form. Larne FC have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. Coleraine FC have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W W. In this competition Coleraine FC have gone W W L W W W.

The numbers. Larne FC score 1.8 and concede 0.6 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets and two games without a goal. Larne FC average 11.0 shots (5.3 on target), 4.9 corners and 2.1 cards a game. Coleraine FC score two and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets. Coleraine FC average 5.1 corners and 1.0 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last nine meetings Larne FC have won four, drawn three and lost two. Five of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Larne FC won two, one was drawn and Coleraine FC won one. The last time they met, on 15 Aug 2026, it finished Larne FC 0-0 Coleraine FC.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: Coleraine FC are the stronger side on form and the table, but both teams' records favour Larne FC. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%; five of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.

The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.

The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Larne FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Coleraine FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Larne FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call). Predicted score: Larne FC 1-1 Coleraine FC (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LAR 6 of 7 (86%) · COL 10 of 10 (100%)96.9%
Larne FC: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Coleraine FC: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · H2H 6 of 6 · Larne FC: only games against sides at Coleraine FC's level · Coleraine FC: only games against sides at Larne FC's level
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LAR 6 of 7 (86%) · COL 9 of 10 (90%)93.2%
Larne FC: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Coleraine FC: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · H2H 5 of 6 · Larne FC: only games against sides at Coleraine FC's level · Coleraine FC: only games against sides at Larne FC's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LAR 6 of 7 (86%) · COL 7 of 10 (70%)85.8%
Larne FC: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Coleraine FC: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · H2H 5 of 6 · Larne FC: only games against sides at Coleraine FC's level · Coleraine FC: only games against sides at Larne FC's level
Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.32
LAR 5 of 7 (71%) · COL 7 of 10 (70%)72.4%
Larne FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Coleraine FC: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · H2H 4 of 6 · Larne FC: only games against sides at Coleraine FC's level · Coleraine FC: only games against sides at Larne FC's level
Under 3.5 GoalsLEANIN CODES
1.29
LAR 6 of 7 (86%) · COL 6 of 10 (60%)69.7%
Larne FC: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Coleraine FC: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · H2H 5 of 6 · Larne FC: only games against sides at Coleraine FC's level · Coleraine FC: only games against sides at Larne FC's level
HALVES
Over 0.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.41
LAR 4 of 7 (57%) · COL 7 of 10 (70%)60.2%
Larne FC: the bet landed in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Coleraine FC: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 64% · H2H 3 of 6 · on half-time scores · Larne FC: only games against sides at Coleraine FC's level · Coleraine FC: only games against sides at Larne FC's level
Left off the list: Larne FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Coleraine FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Larne FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call); Coleraine FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 13.4%
Larne FC goals →
Coleraine FC goals ↓
0-09%
1-011%
2-08%
3-04%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.8%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.5%
1-40.6%
2-40.5%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10
LARNE FCDDWLWWWWWW2.30 PPG
COLERAINE FCDWWWWWWLWW2.50 PPG
THE NUMBERS
LARNE FC HOMExCOLERAINE FC AWAY
1.80SCORED A GAME2.000.60CONCEDED A GAME0.9060%CLEAN SHEETS50%14%FAILED TO SCORE9%4.89CORNERS A GAME5.101.78CARDS A GAME1.00
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
2.71POINTS A GAME2.55+1.71GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.18+7.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+6.43.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.47LEAGUE GAMES11
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
69%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
55%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
74%
NO · 85/90
LARNE FC OR DRAW
45%
NO · 80/85
COLERAINE FC OR DRAW
59%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 11 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
LARNE FCxCOLERAINE FC
5GAMES52.60SCORED A GAME1.600.40CONCEDED A GAME1.203.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.880%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%20%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 9
LARNE FC 4 · 44%DRAW 3COLERAINE FC 2 · 22%
6 of 9BOTH TEAMS SCORED
7 of 9OVER 1.5 GOALS
5 of 9OVER 2.5 GOALS
1 of 9OVER 3.5 GOALS
2024-09-01Larne FC 1 – 1 Coleraine FC
2024-11-10Larne FC 2 – 1 Coleraine FC
2025-03-15Larne FC 1 – 1 Coleraine FC
2025-04-12Larne FC 2 – 1 Coleraine FC
2025-08-10Larne FC 0 – 1 Coleraine FC
2025-11-25Larne FC 2 – 1 Coleraine FC
2026-01-02Larne FC 3 – 0 Coleraine FC
2026-04-07Larne FC 1 – 4 Coleraine FC
TRENDS
Larne FC have scored in 80% of their games.
Coleraine FC have scored in 90% of their games.
Larne FC kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.
Coleraine FC kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
BUILT FROM
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