Match details. Premier Division, Regular Season - 34. Kick-off is Fri 16 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time. It is played at United Park, Drogheda.
What's at stake. Drogheda United FC are 9th on 34 points after 33 games, level on points with Waterford, 11 points clear of Sligo Rovers. A win would take them above Waterford. Derry City FC are 5th on 41 points after 32 games, 2 points behind Shelbourne, level on points with Dundalk. A win would take them above Shelbourne. Derry City FC have nothing left to play for.
Form. Drogheda United FC have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W L. In this competition Drogheda United FC have gone L L W W L L. Derry City FC have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W D L. In this competition Derry City FC have gone W D W D L W.
The numbers. Drogheda United FC score 1.2 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Drogheda United FC average 10.8 shots (3.5 on target), 3.2 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 36% of the ball. Derry City FC score 1.6 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Derry City FC average 14.8 shots (5.0 on target), 5.1 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 56% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Drogheda United FC have won four, drawn three and lost two. Four of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Drogheda United FC won one, two were drawn and Derry City FC won one. The last time they met, on 26 Jun 2026, it finished Drogheda United FC 0-2 Derry City FC: Drogheda United FC had 8 shots to 13, 43% of the ball, four yellow cards.
The case against. Drogheda United FC's record still gives them 23% to win.
The read. Derry City FC or the draw. A draw is live. A tight game. Derry City FC are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 46%. Five of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.38, 73% on the records (Drogheda United FC: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 10; Derry City FC: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 away). Backup: Derry City FC Over 0.5 Goals at 1.21. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Derry City FC to Win Either Half: Yes (the signs point different ways); Derry City FC or draw and over 1.5 goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Drogheda United FC 1-1 Derry City FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).