Match details. Jordan League, Regular Season - 5. Kick-off is Fri 16 Oct, 17:30 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Al Baqaa are 3rd on 7 points after 4 games, 1 point behind Al Ramtha, 2 points clear of Al Jazeera. A win would take them above Al Ramtha. AL Salt are 7th on 4 points after 4 games, 1 point behind Al Hussein, level on points with Doqarah. A win would take them above Al Hussein.
Form. Al Baqaa have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W L. AL Salt have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D W D.
The numbers. Al Baqaa score 0.6 and concede 2.4 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Al Baqaa average 8.4 shots (3.1 on target), 3.6 corners and 2.0 cards a game. AL Salt score 0.9 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and five games without a goal. AL Salt average 10.4 shots (3.3 on target), 3.7 corners and 2.4 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings Al Baqaa have won one, drawn two and lost five. Four of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Al Baqaa won one, one was drawn and AL Salt won two. The last time they met, on 26 Apr 2026, it finished Al Baqaa 1-3 AL Salt.
The case against. Al Baqaa's record still gives them 25% to win.
The read. AL Salt to win. A tight game. AL Salt are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour AL Salt; the meetings favour AL Salt. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: AL Salt or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Al Baqaa 0-1 AL Salt (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).